Estooo, nadie actualiza...? http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/ENSO Wrap-Up: Neutral conditions returning to the PacificIssued on Wednesday 28 April 2010
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Apart from some lingering warmth in the western Pacific, the majority of ENSO indicators have now dropped below El Niño thresholds. The cooling of the tropical Pacific Ocean, which began in late December, has resulted in trade winds and tropical cloudiness returning to normal. Similarly, the Southern Oscillation Index has risen steadily, remaining positive since early in the second week of April.
The decline in the 2009/10 El Niño event is consistent with climate model predictions which suggest Pacific Ocean temperatures will continue to cool over the coming months. The majority of model predictions point towards cooler than normal Pacific Ocean conditions emerging during the southern winter. As autumn is a typical transitional period for ENSO, model predictions through and beyond autumn are generally less reliable than at other times of the year.