Pues si pepe el CNH actualiza otorgándole esos 40 KT a CELIA y segun ellos se intensificará rápidamente

GIVEN THE WEAK SHEAR AND CURRENT TRENDS...RAPID
INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO...WITH A
LEVELING OFF BETWEEN 24-72 HOURS AS EASTERLY SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO
INCREASE. BY DAYS 4 AND 5...THE SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO RELAX AGAIN...
WHICH MAY ALLOW FOR SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING.

INITIAL      19/2100Z 12.4N  98.0W    40 KT
 12HR VT     20/0600Z 12.3N  99.0W    55 KT
 24HR VT     20/1800Z 12.2N 100.4W    70 KT
 36HR VT     21/0600Z 12.2N 101.7W    75 KT
 48HR VT     21/1800Z 12.2N 103.0W    75 KT
 72HR VT     22/1800Z 12.3N 105.3W    75 KT
 96HR VT     23/1800Z 12.5N 107.5W    80 KT
120HR VT     24/1800Z 13.0N 110.5W    90 KT

Here you have:


 



¡¡NO COMMENT!!

"Eso" ya no es un "amago de OJO". Se me antoja muy poco esos 40 kt.
No subo la última imagen en Visible, porque ya lo ha hecho Kike.
Saludos.

Sigue intensificándose



ATCF.-
 EP, 04, 2010062000,   , BEST,   0, 122N,  983W,  50,  997, TS,  50, NEQ,

El NHC actualiza y otorga a celia 55 KT-994 MB


CELIA HAS CONTINUED TO GET BETTER ORGANIZED THIS EVENING...WITH THE
OCCASIONAL GLIMPSE OF AN EYE TRYING TO FORM INSIDE A WELL-DEFINED
CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST.  THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS A BIT UNCERTAIN.
SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 45 KT FROM TAFB AND SAB...WHILE
AMSU-BASED INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 65-70 KT.  THE ATTEMPTS AT EYE
FORMATION SUGGEST AN INTENSITY NEAR THE HIGHER END OF THESE
ESTIMATES...ALTHOUGH THE EYE IS NOT YET PERSISTENT ENOUGH TO
JUSTIFY CALLING CELIA A HURRICANE.  THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
INCREASED TO 55 KT...AND THIS COULD BE CONSERVATIVE.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      20/0300Z 12.1N  98.7W    55 KT
 12HR VT     20/1200Z 11.9N  99.8W    65 KT
 24HR VT     21/0000Z 11.8N 101.0W    75 KT
 36HR VT     21/1200Z 11.7N 102.2W    80 KT
 48HR VT     22/0000Z 11.7N 103.2W    80 KT
 72HR VT     23/0000Z 12.0N 105.5W    85 KT
 96HR VT     24/0000Z 12.5N 108.5W    90 KT
120HR VT     25/0000Z 13.5N 112.0W    95 KT



Todo parece indicar que CELIA será el primer huracán mayor de la temporada 

Celia alcanza los 55kT

ENHANCED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CELIA HAS CHANGED LITTLE
IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. ALTHOUGH THE MAIN
CONVECTIVE MASS HAS CONSOLIDATED FURTHER...CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES
HAVE NOT COOLED. UPPER-LEVEL APPEARS WELL-ESTABLISHED OVER THE
WESTERN SEMICIRCLE BUT IS RESTRICTED TO THE EAST

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      20/0900Z 12.0N  99.4W    55 KT
 12HR VT     20/1800Z 11.8N 100.4W    65 KT
 24HR VT     21/0600Z 11.7N 101.7W    75 KT
 36HR VT     21/1800Z 11.8N 102.8W    80 KT
 48HR VT     22/0600Z 11.8N 104.0W    85 KT
 72HR VT     23/0600Z 12.0N 106.7W    95 KT
 96HR VT     24/0600Z 13.0N 110.0W   100 KT
120HR VT     25/0600Z 14.0N 113.5W   100 KT

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN