El Pacífico está que arde, tanto por el Norte como por el Sur. Consecuencias de un NIÑO FUERTE como el de este año. Este sistema que en principio no parecería gran cosa, debido a estas circunstancias especiales, está a punto de caramelo, incluso para ser nombrado. Según ADT ya está por encima de los
30 kts.B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.3S
175.7E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.3S 177.1E, APPROXIMATELY 324 NM NORTH
OF NADI, FIJI. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A FULLY EXPOSED LLCC THAT HAS
TRACKED EAST, NORTH OF THE DEEPEST CONVECTION. HOWEVER, A 132354Z
RSCAT IMAGE SHOWS GOOD WRAPPING 15 TO 20 KNOTS OF WIND. UPPER-LEVEL
ANALYSIS INDICATES THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED IN A MARGINAL
ENVIRONMENT WITH 20 TO 25 KNOT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BEING OFFSET BY
AN ENHANCED POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL. GLOBAL MODELS SHOW WEAK
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT REMAINS QUASI-STATIONARY. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS HIGH.
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