Depresión Tropical 06E (Pacífico E)

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Depresión Tropical 06E (Pacífico E)
« en: Domingo 11 Julio 2010 21:12:12 pm »
Tenemos un nuevo invest en el EPAC

 BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_ep962010.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
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201007111811
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
    

EP, 96, 2010071118,   , BEST,   0, 120N,  925W,  20, 1008, LO,  34, NEQ

« Última modificación: Miércoles 14 Julio 2010 22:41:47 pm por Torre »

Desconectado Pepeavilenho

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Re: Invest 96E - EPAC
« Respuesta #1 en: Domingo 11 Julio 2010 21:37:38 pm »
Pues de desarrollarse, toca Estelle.



A ver que dicen los dinámicos, por que GFS y CMC ven desarrollo, que por cierto, el NHC ya la tenía vigilada desde el atlántico, cuando le dió hace dos dias 0% de chance.

 8)

Desconectado HurricaneMex'

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Re: Invest 96E - ( SW Guatemala )
« Respuesta #2 en: Lunes 12 Julio 2010 19:49:46 pm »
Sube al nivel NARANJA

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE ARE GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED A COUPLE HUNDRED
MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
ABOUT 10 MPH.  THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS


« Última modificación: Lunes 12 Julio 2010 19:58:37 pm por HurricaneMex »

Desconectado Juanjo...

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Re: Invest 96E - ( SW Guatemala )
« Respuesta #3 en: Lunes 12 Julio 2010 20:14:03 pm »





El Puerto De Santa María , Cádiz . 32msnm .
El Blog de la meteorología Gaditana.
http://meteocdiz.blogspot.com/

Desconectado Pepeavilenho

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Re: Invest 96E - ( SW Golfo de tehuantepec )
« Respuesta #4 en: Martes 13 Julio 2010 12:43:33 pm »
1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...HAVE DIMINISHED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS.  UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.  THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.    
ç

SHIPS y los globales desarrollan, es solo cuestión de tiempo 8)

Desconectado Pepeavilenho

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Re: Invest 96E - ( SW Golfo de tehuantepec )
« Respuesta #5 en: Martes 13 Julio 2010 23:19:23 pm »
40%, rozando el nivel rojo 8)

1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED
WEATHER OFF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO REMAIN DISORGANIZED.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH.  THERE IS A
MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.   


Nada destacable en el sat. de momento....

 8)

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Re: Invest 96E - ( SW Golfo de tehuantepec )
« Respuesta #6 en: Miércoles 14 Julio 2010 12:16:48 pm »
Cada vez tiene mejor aspecto... 8)



1. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME MORE CONCENTRATED NEAR A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH.
THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.   




 8)

Desconectado Kauri

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Re: Invest 96E - ( SW Golfo de tehuantepec )
« Respuesta #7 en: Miércoles 14 Julio 2010 17:14:43 pm »
Pues sí que va teniendo mejor aspecto; las condiciones también son buenas para ver el siguiente sistema tropical del EPAC.....




Barcelona ciudad. A la falda de Collserola, 120 m.s.n.m. .

Desconectado HurricaneMex'

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Re: Invest 96E - ( SW Golfo de tehuantepec )
« Respuesta #8 en: Miércoles 14 Julio 2010 19:55:43 pm »
Poco le falta para ser DT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED TODAY AROUND
A SMALL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED ABOUT 350 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.
. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE
GRADUALLY BECOMING MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
DISTURBANCE AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH...AND A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM AS EARLY AS THIS AFTERNOON OR
TONIGHT. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.


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Re: Invest 96E - ( SW Manzanillo )
« Respuesta #9 en: Miércoles 14 Julio 2010 22:19:12 pm »
EP, 06, 2010071418, , BEST, 0, 147N, 1067W, 30, 1006, TD

A ver el parte.... 8)

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Re: Invest 96E - ( SW Manzanillo )
« Respuesta #10 en: Miércoles 14 Julio 2010 22:40:27 pm »
Pues eso, tenemos depresión 8)


THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN EXPERIENCING 25-30 KT OF EASTERLY SHEAR FOR
THE PAST 2 DAYS...AND THIS CONDITION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO
. ALTHOUGH THE INNER-CORE CONVECTION HAS
ERODED SOMEWHAT DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS...THERE WILL LIKELY
BE ANOTHER BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER LATER TONIGHT
AND EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...PERSISTENT CONVECTION WILL
LIKELY NOT BE SUSTAINED UNTIL THE SHEAR DECREASES SIGNIFICANTLY IN
ABOUT 36 HOURS.
BUT BY THAT TIME...THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO BE
MOVING OVER COOLER WATER...WHICH SHOULD ACT TO KEEP THE SYSTEM AS A
TROPICAL STORM
.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      14/2100Z 14.9N 107.2W    30 KT
 12HR VT     15/0600Z 15.3N 108.8W    30 KT
 24HR VT     15/1800Z 15.8N 110.5W    30 KT
 36HR VT     16/0600Z 16.2N 112.3W    35 KT
 48HR VT     16/1800Z 16.6N 114.1W    40 KT
 72HR VT     17/1800Z 17.2N 118.0W    35 KT
 96HR VT     18/1800Z 17.6N 122.0W    30 KT
120HR VT     19/1800Z 18.0N 126.0W    25 KT...DISSIPATING

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

8)

Estos primeros partes son la leche.... ;D
« Última modificación: Miércoles 14 Julio 2010 22:42:29 pm por pepeavilenho »

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Re: Depresión Tropical 06E (Pacífico E)
« Respuesta #11 en: Miércoles 14 Julio 2010 22:46:29 pm »
Trayectoria.



A ver si se organiza y podemos ver a Estelle en las próximas horas.



 8)