Bye bye ESTELLE
BASED ON THE LACK OF ANY PERSISTENT
CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION ESTELLE NO LONGER QUALIFIES AS A TROPICAL
CYCLONE AND THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY UNLESS REGENERATION
OCCURS.
de todas formas, mucho ojo...
THE SHALLOW REMNANT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST OR EAST-SOUTHEAST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AND GET DRAWN INTO THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC MONSOON TROUGH.
MOST OF THE GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO AGREE ON THIS GENERAL TRACK
SCENARIO...
ALTHOUGH THEY STILL DIFFER SOMEWHAT ON WHETHER OR NOT
ESTELLE REMAINS A SEPARATE ENTITY OR GETS ABSORBED BY THE
DISTURBANCE OFF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO IN A COUPLE OF
DAYS. GIVEN THE LARGER CYCLONIC ENVELOPE OF THIS DISTURBANCE...THE
LATTER SEEMS MORE LIKELY.