IRWIN se mueve como Depresión Tropical, a rebufo de JOVA
No obstante, pulsa nueva convección según los loops, sobre el LLCC
Si no pega un nuevo bajón, podrá recuperar la categoria de Tormenta. El NHC no apuesta por su regeneración, en base a que el ambiente seco, y a un eventual aumento de la cizalladura, que ahora parece favorable
THE SHIPS MODEL AND UW-CIMSS SHEAR PRODUCT INDICATES FAVORABLE LIGHT
850-200 MB SHEAR OVER THE CYCLONE. THE CIRA AMSU AREA-AVERAGED
WIND SHEARS PRODUCT...HOWEVER...INDICATES AN INCREASE IN MID-LEVEL
VERTICAL SHEAR...POSSIBLY UNDERCUTTING THE OUTFLOW ALOFT. THIS
ALONG WITH A DRY/STABLE SURROUNDING ENVIRONMENT APPEARS TO BE
INHIBITING SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. FURTHERMORE...STATISTICAL AND
DYNAMICAL MODELS INDICATE AN INCREASE IN NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR TOWARD
THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD