1. Showers and thunderstorms have changed little in organization sinceearlier today near a low pressure area located about 550 milessouth of Manzanillo, Mexico. However, environmental conditions areconducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely toform over the weekend while the low moves northwestward at 5 to 10mph well offshore of the coast of Mexico.* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percentForecaster Berg