Nuevo bichejo a seguir en el Pacífico Este, que no tiene un remanso de paz. Código
ROJO Lanzada la alerta por formación tropical, por parte de las agencias. [emoji41]
Citar1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a large low pressure
system located about 750 miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, are
continuing to become better organized. Satellite-derived wind data
indicate that the surface circulation has also become better
defined. If these recent development trends continue, then a
tropical depression or a tropical storm is likely to form later
tonight or on Monday while the system moves west-northwestward to
northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent
Forecaster Stewart
Fuerza de Depresión Tropical, con 30kts-1008mb pero no termina de "carburar" del todo, debido a la cizalladura, que desplaza todo el grueso de la convección, hacia el W de su LLCC. A poco que se relaje, tendremos nuevo "bicho" a la vista. [emoji41]
Habemus nueva Depresión Tropical. Y es tan reciente, que aún no la han cambiado en la página web del NHC, no así en la Marina, que sí upgradea al sistema. A falta del primer parte, del Track y de la discursión, esto es lo que hay de momento.
No sé ni como, pero nace Felicia.
(http://images.meteociel.fr/im/402/20150723.0855.gcomw1.x.composite.07EFELICIA.35kts_1004mb_187N_1145W.95pc_dyr5.jpg)
[emojifacepal01]
No va a durar ni un telediario.
Ni siquiera un Telediario. Degradada a Depresión Tropical y con visos de ser "remanente", esta noche. :P
CitarThe rather harsh thermodynamic atmospheric environment and
decreasing sea surface temperatures continue to have a substantial
effect on Felicia's cloud pattern. The cyclone's circulation
consists mainly of a swirl of stable stratocumulus low clouds with a
diminishing deep convective curved band displaced well to the east.
The initial intensity is held at 30 kt for this advisory based on a
compromise of the final-T and CI numbers from both TAFB and SAB.
Felicia should continue to spin down and become a remnant low either
tonight or Saturday morning, with dissipation expected in 3 days or
less.
The initial motion is estimated to be northwestward, or 310/9 kt.
There are no significant changes to the forecast philosophy in this
advisory. As Felicia continues to weaken into a shallow system, a
turn toward the west within the low-level easterly flow of the
subtropical ridge is expected tonight. The NHC forecast is
essentially an update of the previous advisory but nudged
slightly toward the right to side with a blend of the GFEX and TVCN
multi-model consensus forecasts.
Forecaster Roberts