Foro de Tiempo.com
Foro general de Meteorología => Huracanes, tifones, ciclones, tormentas tropicales => Atlántico => Mensaje iniciado por: Pepeavilenho en Martes 24 Agosto 2021 14:21:49 pm
-
Desde hace un par de días tenemos nuevo área de seguimiento
(https://images.meteociel.fr/im/90/25147/two_atl_2d1 _2_fws9.png)
1. A broad trough of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms over the central tropical Atlantic about 900 miles
east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands. Little development
of this system is expected during the next day or two due while
it moves northwestward at about 15 mph over marginally conducive
ocean temperatures and is affected by strong upper-level winds.
Afterwards, environmental conditions are expected to become more
favorable for gradual development, and a tropical depression could
form by the end of the week while the system turns eastward over
the central Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
Track previsto
(https://images.meteociel.fr/im/90/3737/124ewz2.track.png.png)
Aún hay cierta incertidumbre con la trayectoria. Pero estará merodeando Azores la semana que viene
Hay bastante aire seco en la zona, a ver como va blindándose en las próximas horas
-
the system lacked sufficient organized deep convection
to be considered a tropical cyclone by definition
Lo va a tener complicado
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 29/0300Z 33.0N 49.7W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 29/1200Z 34.6N 47.1W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 30/0000Z 36.8N 43.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 30/1200Z 39.5N 39.2W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 31/0000Z 43.4N 36.4W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
60H 31/1200Z 47.9N 36.3W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 01/0000Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Latto
(https://images.meteociel.fr/im/67/4412/024942_5day_cone_no_line_and_windrok9.png)
-
Nace Julian gracias a ASCAT, con 45 nudos
Pico de 50 nudos hasta que se extratropicalice en 24-36horas