Foro de Tiempo.com
Foro general de Meteorología => Huracanes, tifones, ciclones, tormentas tropicales => Pacífico Este y Central => Mensaje iniciado por: rayo_cruces en Domingo 27 Junio 2021 05:02:35 am
-
Se formó hace un par de días pero los modelos inicialmente no esperaban que se llegara a Huracán ni que se acercase tanto a las costas de México.
BULLETIN
Hurricane Enrique Intermediate Advisory Number 7A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052021
700 PM CDT Sat Jun 26 2021
...OUTER RAINBANDS OF ENRIQUE MOVING ONSHORE ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO...
SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.1N 105.9W
ABOUT 225 MI...365 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 475 MI...770 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
Recent satellite data indicate that the center of Enrique is
located slightly south of earlier estimates. At 700 PM CDT (0000
UTC), the center of Hurricane Enrique was located near latitude
17.1 North, longitude 105.9 West. Enrique is moving toward the
west-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). A turn to the northwest is
expected later tonight with the storm maintaining a northwest
heading for the next several days. On the forecast track, the core
of Enrique is expected to remain offshore roughly parallel to the
southwestern coast of Mexico during the next several days.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some slight strengthening is possible in the short term, but
Enrique is expected to begin weakening early next week as it begins
moving over cooler waters.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140
miles (220 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 980 mb (28.94 inches).
Presión central de 980Hp y Vientos máximos sostenidos de 140Km/h y condiciones favorables para el desarrollo aun en las próximas 12-24 horas salvo la cercanía a Tierra, de ahí en los adelante se irá debilitando por la interacción con tierra, algo de aire seco y aguas relativamente mas frías.
Saludos 8)
-
ENRIQUE vivió su mejor momento ayer cuando durante buena parte del día rozaba la Cat. 2. Hace apenas 12 horas aun era huracán pero se debilita a marchas forzadas mientras de dirige a Cabo San Lucas, el extremo sur de Baja California.
Aire seco y pronto temperaturas del mar mas frescas así como la interacción con tierra hacen que a ENRIQUE le queden apenas 48 horas según el NHC y viendo el aspecto actual, creo que menos.
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Enrique Advisory Number 16
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052021
900 PM MDT Mon Jun 28 2021
...ENRIQUE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE BAJA
PENINSULA...
SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.1N 107.4W
ABOUT 205 MI...325 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES
Saludos 8)