Publicado por: Pepeavilenho en Domingo 14 Junio 2015 01:45:35 am
(http://images.meteociel.fr/im/2253/two_atl_2d1_cqu3.png)
1. An area of low pressure located over the Yucatan Peninsula is
producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms and winds to
near gale force over portions of the northwestern Caribbean Sea and
southeastern Gulf of Mexico as it interacts with an upper-level
trough. Environmental conditions should support some development of
this system after it moves over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico
Sunday and across the northwestern Gulf of Mexico through Tuesday.
Regardless of development, heavy rains are possible over portions of
the Yucatan Peninsula through Sunday. An Air Force Reserve
Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system
Sunday afternoon, if necessary. Additional information on this
system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National
Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent
(http://images.meteociel.fr/im/9601/3_rwx8.png)
Publicado por: Pepeavilenho en Lunes 15 Junio 2015 11:14:37 am
1. Surface observations and satellite data indicate that the broad
area of low pressure over the south-central Gulf of Mexico has
changed little over the past several hours. The system's
circulation is not well-defined, and the associated shower and
thunderstorm activity remains disorganized. The low continues to
produce tropical storm force winds well to the east and northeast of
the center. Upper-level winds are forecast to gradually become more
favorable while this system moves northwestward during the next
day or two across the western Gulf of Mexico, and a tropical
depression or tropical storm could form during that time. A
Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system
later this morning.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent
De momento no es más que otro engendro depresionario, creo que podría ser nombrado a poco que la circulación sea un poco más evidente en las próximas 12h. Veo a un sistema muy poco definido, muy cizallado y con aire seco en su núcleo..... poco futuro a simple vista, asi que veremos como evoluciona antes de tocar tierra en la zona deTexas.
Publicado por: rayo_cruces en Lunes 15 Junio 2015 15:09:10 pm
Saludos 8)
Publicado por: Pepeavilenho en Lunes 15 Junio 2015 15:25:44 pm
AL, 91, 2015061512, , BEST, 0, 245N, 930W, 35, 1006, LO
(http://images.meteociel.fr/im/6216/rgb_lalo_animated_tkv5.gif)
Apostaría a que Bill está muy cerca de formarse.
Publicado por: rayo_cruces en Lunes 15 Junio 2015 23:30:06 pm
A que al final lo nombran.
Saludos 8)
Publicado por: Pepeavilenho en Martes 16 Junio 2015 10:09:15 am
(http://images.meteociel.fr/im/4963/1_qli9.gif)
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 16/0300Z 27.1N 94.2W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 16/1200Z 28.3N 95.8W 50 KT 60 MPH
24H 17/0000Z 29.7N 97.3W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND
36H 17/1200Z 31.5N 98.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
48H 18/0000Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Brennan
(http://images.meteociel.fr/im/1338/2_agp4.gif)
Publicado por: Sudoku en Martes 16 Junio 2015 12:26:17 pm
Publicado por: hardstyle en Martes 16 Junio 2015 13:17:33 pm
Buen seguimiento, que recuerdos 😉
Publicado por: Pepeavilenho en Martes 16 Junio 2015 14:31:53 pm
Buen seguimiento, que recuerdos 😉
Por cierto, que el Recon ha encontrado vientos de 58 nudos ahora mismo..... Es posible que antes de tocar tierra, como comenta Hardstyle, sea catalogado como Huracán....... :o
(http://images.meteociel.fr/im/3581/20150616.0952.f15.x.85h_1deg.02LBILL.45kts_1004mb_276N_953W.50pc_udz8.jpg)
ADT también soporta intensidades de 50-55 nudos. Creo que en el próximoparte veremos a Bill con 55-60 nudos y un pronostico al alza en las próximas 3h- 6h antes de tocar tierra.
Publicado por: Pepeavilenho en Martes 16 Junio 2015 19:58:08 pm
(http://images.meteociel.fr/im/4289/rgb_lalo_animated_piz7.gif)
De momento 50 nudos, a la espera del próximo parte.
Publicado por: dani... en Martes 16 Junio 2015 21:51:45 pm
