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Foro general de Meteorología => Huracanes, tifones, ciclones, tormentas tropicales => Australia => Mensaje iniciado por: hardstyle en Miércoles 06 Marzo 2013 16:33:43 pm
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Lanzada alerta por formación ciclónica para la Onda Tropical que se esta organizando muy poco a poco, pero que según el Europeo y el GFS, conseguirá desarrollarse, y convertirse en lo que podría ser el primer ciclón de cierta entidad de la temporada, el cual podría afectar de manera indirecta a las costas de Queensland.
92PINVEST.30kts-998mb-167S-1538E
(http://i1238.photobucket.com/albums/ff495/Hardstyle1980/Tropical/2013SevereHardstyle/tc_home2-5_zps4b5ca523.jpg)
;)
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35 kts
19P.NINETEEN
El ultimo reporte habla de 35 kts. Vamos a ver si actualiza alguna imagen de satélite, el pronóstico del JTWC lleva al sistema a un pico de 95 kts.
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B.O.M lo alzan a Categoría 1 en su escala, y viene una fémina... Sandra.
IDQ20018
TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - EASTERN REGION
Issued by BRISBANE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 1839 UTC 07/03/2013
Name: Tropical Cyclone Sandra
Identifier: 13U
Data At: 1800 UTC
Latitude: 15.0S
Longitude: 156.0E
Location Accuracy: within 25 nm [45 km]
Movement Towards: northeast [055 deg]
Speed of Movement: 7 knots [13 km/h]
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 35 knots [65 km/h]
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 50 knots [95 km/h]
Central Pressure: 989 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant: 280 nm [520 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant: 280 nm [520 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: 280 nm [520 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: 280 nm [520 km]
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 64-knot winds:
Radius of Maximum Winds: 40 nm [75 km]
Dvorak Intensity Code: T3.0/3.0/D1.0/24HRS
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1004 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 270 nm [500 km]
Storm Depth: Deep
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure
[UTC] : degrees : nm [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa
+12: 08/0600: 14.8S 157.1E: 045 [080]: 045 [085]: 984
+24: 08/1800: 15.0S 158.0E: 070 [130]: 060 [110]: 973
+36: 09/0600: 15.3S 159.2E: 090 [165]: 070 [130]: 965
+48: 09/1800: 15.8S 160.1E: 110 [200]: 080 [150]: 956
+60: 10/0600: 16.5S 161.1E: 130 [235]: 085 [155]: 952
+72: 10/1800: 17.2S 161.7E: 145 [270]: 090 [165]: 947
REMARKS:
DT=2.5, based on curved band 0.5 to 0.55 wrap. MET is 3.0. Final T based on MET.
Over the next 24 to 48 hours movement is expected to be towards the east due to
the easterly propagation of the low level monsoon surge and an increase in weak
upper level ridging to the west of the system. Currently the system sits in a
low shear environment with shear over the system of the order of 10 to 15 knots.
Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
==
The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 08/0100 UTC by Brisbane
TCWC.
(http://i1238.photobucket.com/albums/ff495/Hardstyle1980/Tropical/2013SevereHardstyle/h_zpsadad337b.jpg)
Niveles moderadamente altos en contenido OHC por la zona donde se encuentra, pero a medida que se desplace al sur, el ambiente ya no será tan favorable.
No debería de tardar mucho una posible rápida intensificación (RI).
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60kts-978mb
(http://i46.tinypic.com/2ugkpds.jpg)
Pico de 100kts según JTWC.
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70kts-970mb
(http://i47.tinypic.com/33p663l.jpg)
Pronóstico de la Agencia Meteorológica Australiana.
(http://i46.tinypic.com/qoepo7.gif)
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(http://i1238.photobucket.com/albums/ff495/Hardstyle1980/Tropical/2013SevereHardstyle/avn-animated-3_zps8c26fc11.gif)
Mantiene fuerza, pero sin duda se esta intensificando rápidamente ::)
Nueva Caledonia comienza a lanzar alertas por sus posibles efectos "indirectos" en la costa norte.
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CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
5.2 / 954.7mb/ 94.8kt
(http://i1238.photobucket.com/albums/ff495/Hardstyle1980/Tropical/2013SevereHardstyle/tc_home2-5_zps38ee0431.jpg)
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(http://i1238.photobucket.com/albums/ff495/Hardstyle1980/Tropical/2013SevereHardstyle/201303091232mtsat1rxwv1km19PSANDRA65kts-974mb-157S-1596E100pc_zps1bbb8a6d.jpg)
(http://i1238.photobucket.com/albums/ff495/Hardstyle1980/Tropical/2013SevereHardstyle/LATEST_zpsd550a523.jpg)
:)
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110kts-941mb
Categoria 3 Saffir Simpson. Categoría 4 Escala Australiana.
(http://i50.tinypic.com/25t9npg.gif)
(http://i45.tinypic.com/2isuqnk.jpg)
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:biker:
115kts-937mb
(http://i48.tinypic.com/14t7xup.jpg)
Este tiene pinta de ser su tope.
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19P SANDRA 130311 1800 19.1S 161.9E SHEM 90 956
(http://i1238.photobucket.com/albums/ff495/Hardstyle1980/Tropical/2013SevereHardstyle/vis0_zps93b891fd.jpg)
Final del ERC, y parece ser que se le ha colado algo de aire seco.
;)
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Final del ERC, y parece ser que se le ha colado algo de aire seco.
Efectivamente 8)
(http://i1238.photobucket.com/albums/ff495/Hardstyle1980/Tropical/2013SevereHardstyle/wv0_zpsf0b1853a.jpg)
19P SANDRA 130312 1800 23.3S 161.8E SHEM 70 970
Pobre Sandra... :risa: