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Foro general de Meteorología => Huracanes, tifones, ciclones, tormentas tropicales => Atlántico => Mensaje iniciado por: rayo_cruces en Jueves 22 Agosto 2019 02:47:23 am
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El NHC se ha apurado en nombrar una baja que hace días se movía al este desde la costa este americana por la vaguada cuasipermanente que este año hemos tenido sobre la costa este (y que hasta Cuba no llega la influencia), realmente ayer si tenía mas pinta y hasta lo pensé que pudiera ser clasificado, hoy se ve peor que ayer y los modelos no dan mucha vida a CHANTAL.
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Chantal Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042019
500 PM AST Wed Aug 21 2019
...DISORGANIZED CHANTAL LIKELY TO WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION SOON...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...39.8N 49.1W
ABOUT 515 MI...830 KM SSE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 100 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
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At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Chantal was
located near latitude 39.8 North, longitude 49.1 West. Chantal is
moving toward the east near 20 mph (31 km/h). A turn toward the
southeast with a decrease in forward speed is expected by Thursday.
Chantal is forecast to slow further and turn southward on Friday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual weakening is anticipated, and Chantal is forecast to become
a tropical depression by Thursday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).
Tropical Storm Chantal Discussion Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042019
500 PM AST Wed Aug 21 2019
Deep convection associated with Chantal has diminished and is
confined to some disorganized patches of showers and thunderstorms
northeast of the center. The advisory intensity estimate is held
at 35 kt, pending the arrival of new scatterometer data. The
cyclone should continue to move through a dry mid- to low-level
air mass, with humidities less than 40 percent, during the next few
days. This is likely to cause weakening, and it is expected that
Chantal will become a tropical depression tomorrow and a remnant
low by Friday. Given the current appearance of the system, loss
of tropical cyclone status and dissipation are now forecast to occur
much sooner than earlier anticipated. This is in good agreement
with the latest HWRF model run.
Casi seguro que mañana hayamos dicho adiós a CHANTAL.
Saludos 8)
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No entiendo mucho del tema, pero hay poco movimiento en cuanto a tormentas tropicales y huracanes ¿no?
Se supone que estamos en la época.
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Si, la temporada hasta ahora es de las mas flojas en muchos años, pero cuidado, aun hay tiempo para que eso cambie radicalmente.
Por otro lado CHANTAL fue degradado a Depresión Tropical y pronto (realmente ya deberían hacerlo) ser oficialmente terminado como sistema tropical, ahora mismo otra baja cientos de kilometros al oeste de CHANTAL luce mucho mejor.
Saludos 8)
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Finalmente como se esperaba CHANTAL ya es historia, ha sido declarado baja remanente sin chances de regenerarse.
Saludos 8)