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Foro general de Meteorología => Huracanes, tifones, ciclones, tormentas tropicales => Pacífico Este y Central => Mensaje iniciado por: Torrelloviedo en Viernes 09 Agosto 2013 14:00:41 pm
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Me lo pido, que estará en el límite de cuencas, y puede coger nombre Hawaiano...
Independientemente de eso, hay algún modelo que le da bastante desarrollo una vez se integre en el CPHC
2. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1600 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AROUND 10 MPH.
(http://images.meteociel.fr/im/97737/epac2_swa1.gif)
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Muerto no está, aunque como mucho ahora tiene visos de Depresión únicamente
For the central north Pacific, between 140°W and 180.
1. An area of low pressure located about 1000 miles southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii continues to produce showers and thunderstorms. More than one vorticity center lies within this area of interest, hindering development around a single dominant center. If development occurs within this disturbed area, it will be slow as it moves westward at about 15 mph over the next couple of days. This area of interest has a low chance, 20 percent, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
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Como el ave fénix...
1. An area of low pressure centered about 650 miles south of Kauai is moving west near 20 mph. This system continues to show signs of improved organization, and a tropical depression may be developing, as strong thunderstorms are increasing near the center. Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for further development, and this system has a high chance, 80 percent, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours
(http://i42.tinypic.com/2ynh2lx.gif)
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Ojo que como siga así, va a pasar directamente a ser nombrada. Menudo aspecto tiene en las últimas pasadas del SAT. :o
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90CINVEST.30kts-1008mb-125N-1621W Parece que ya es Depresión Tropical. 8)
TPPZ01 PGTW 160332
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 90C (SW OF HAWAI'I)
B. 16/0231Z
C. 12.8N
D. 162.7W
E. FIVE/GOES15
F. T1.5/2.0 STT: W0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 49A/PBO PTLY XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. .30 WRAP YIELDS A DT
OF 1.5. PT WAS 2.0; MET WAS N/A. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
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"Esto" tiene más de 30 Kts. seguro. >:(
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Otra vez a marear la perdiz.
2. An area of low pressure centered about 700 miles south-southwest of Kauai is moving west near 15 mph. Outflow from the system described above is making conditions less conducive for further development of this system, and system organization has diminished somewhat over the past six hours. This system has a high chance, 60 percent, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
En detrimento de su compañera 91-C que sube al 80%. Yo ya estoy hecho un lío con estos 3 sistemas del Pacífico Central, no se cual es cual. :teriesdemi:
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Finalmente saltó la liebre.
GOES VISIBLE IMAGERY AT 2330Z AND A 0020Z ASCAT PASS DEMONSTRATED
THAT THE SUSPECT AREA FORMERLY KNOWN AS INVEST 90C WAS ACTUALLY
TROPICAL STORM UNALA
De momento posee 35 kts, y parece que estará supeditada a su compañera Pewa, y no se fortalecerá más.
Sin duda, una sorpresa.
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Unala decae a baja remanente, a estas horas ha sido engullida por la circulación del tifón Pewa, el cual se encuentra al SO de su posición.
(http://i42.tinypic.com/27wzm78.jpg)
Unala ya es historia tropical. ;)