¿Alguien puede sacar esos mapas de la cuenca que sobre satelite muestra texto y dibujutos...?
Alguien los puso en topics recientes... :P
A ver si va a sonar aquí también la campana... De momento sube un poquito hasta 40kts-996mb , y su estructura ha mejorado de ayer a hoy.Pues sí, va a sonar. Parece que le ha cogido celos a INGRID e inicia su "remontada" particular. Última imagen del SAT a 85 gHz. :-X
::)
...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED AS MANUEL CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...
...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES ARE POSSIBLE...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.2N 102.3W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM S OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO
ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM SE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE
PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO MANZANILLO.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LAZARO CARDENAS TO MANZANILLO
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ACAPULCO TO EAST OF LAZARO CARDENAS
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT
12 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF MANUEL.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MANUEL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.3 WEST. MANUEL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H. A MOTION TOWARD THE
NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...MANUEL SHOULD BE NEAR THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN
MEXICO WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA BY EARLY SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE...
AND MANUEL COULD BE A HURRICANE WHEN IT MAKES LANDFALL ON SUNDAY.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...445 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...MANUEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN
OVER PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF OAXACA AND GUERRERO...WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...
ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS...ALMOST
5 INCHES...122 MM...OF RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED IN HUATULCO MEXICO.
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH PORTIONS OF THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA EARLY SUNDAY...WITH TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SOON.
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING
NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER OF MANUEL MAKES LANDFALL.
NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND
DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MANUEL ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND MANZANILLO.
THESE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND WILL CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
Y las humedades? Es lo peor de el entorno de la peninsula
El ECMWF también le da cierta vida por el Golfo de la Baja California
Pues en principio podría recuperar el estatus de TSMira como está el Pacífico Este en general :-X
Menudo secarral ;D Entre eso y la proximitud a Baja California yo no apostaría mucho por él...Pues en principio podría recuperar el estatus de TSMira como está el Pacífico Este en general :-X
(http://i44.tinypic.com/2jag9dc.jpg)
Si es verdad que va arrastrando humedad... y resulta que la zona de Baja California, casual y anecdóticamente, es una de las zonas más humedas de la cuenca a día de hoy... pero leche.... Es que yo no había visto esta cuenca así nunca, y si te mueves hacia el Pacífico Central es que está igual... :P
. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF
MANUEL...IS LOCATED ABOUT 60 MILES NORTHWEST OF THE ISLAS MARIAS.
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS
BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED TODAY AND ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS LIKELY
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AFTER THAT TIME...THE
CLOSE PROXIMITY TO LAND AND COOLER WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO INHIBIT
FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM ALSO HAS A HIGH CHANCE...60
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
INTERESTS ALONG THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO AND IN SOUTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS LOW.
:nocomment:
(http://i41.tinypic.com/2lidi5v.jpg)
35kts-1000mb :nocomment:
Venga ya...
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 107.9W AT 18/1800Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.