2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 152.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 151.7E, APPROXIMATELY 405 NM EAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A DEEPENING CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE OBSCURING AN ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) THAT IS BEING ENHANCED BY STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY SURGE TO THE SOUTH OF THE DISTURBANCE. A 131637Z SSMI MICROWAVE PASS SHOWS WEAK SHALLOW BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE LLCC WITH THE BULK OF CONVECTION ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD DUAL CHANNEL OUTFLOW ENHANCED BY A TUTT CELL LOCATED TO THE NORTH. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE MINIMAL DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT TRACKS GENERALLY NORTHWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.
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