Ya tenemos recambio para MELOR, con un nuevo sistema, que ha nacido precisamente, sobre la misma zona que lo hizo el tifón nombrado.
REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.4N
145.2E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.1N 144.6E, APPROXIMATELY 465 NM
SOUTHEAST OF YAP. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A
141150Z MHS 89GHZ IMAGE DEPICT A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC) WITH DEEP CONVECTION BEGINNING TO BUILD AND
CONSOLIDATE DIRECTLY OVER THE SYSTEM. RECENT SCATTEROMETRY DATA ALSO
INDICATES THE LLCC IS GETTING MORE DEFINED WITH 25 KNOT RAIN FLAGGED
WINDS NEAR THE CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE (15 TO 20 KNOTS)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OFFSET BY GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. DUE TO INCREASED
CONSOLIDATION OF THE LLCC AND THE MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM INTO A MORE
FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT
OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.