Tormenta Tropical GABRIELLE (07-L. Puerto Rico-Bermuda-Atlántico Norte)

GABRIELLE IS BARELY HANGING ON AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE...WITH A SMALL
AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION TO THE EAST OF THE EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL
CENTER. THIS IS LIKELY DUE TO THE 15-20 KT OF SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR
OVER THE CYCLONE. THE INTITAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN CONSERVATIVELY
LOWERED TO 40 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY

...GABRIELLE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...

SOME INTENSIFICATION IS
POSSIBLE AS GABRIELLE INTERACTS WITH A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
IN 36 TO 48 HOURS

Por los pelos de un calvo

A NEW BURST OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED JUST EAST OF THE CENTER OF
GABRIELLE DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS

 THE SHEAR HAS DECREASED
TO 10-15 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.

En el resto del parte, el NHC plantea una dicotomía: el descenso de la cizalladura y el forzamiento baroclínico de un ramal del jet permiten que GABRIELLE de un ultimo punch antes de extratropicalizarse; sin embargo, los dinámicos plantean la interaccion del ciclón con uno no-tropical, lo que fulminaría a GABRIELLE.
Finalmente los americanos apuestan por que recupere brevemente la categoría de TS

Veremos que pasa

 

Venga, aunque solo sea por la intención de nuestra luchadora Gabrielle... Esto se merece 35 kts.

GABRIELLE REGAINS TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

ONCE AGAIN DEEP CONVECTION HAS LARGELY DISAPPEARED NEAR THE CENTER
OF GABRIELLE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 35 KT...BUT THIS COULD
BE GENEROUS

Estoooo, once again, zas en toda la boca 

ALTHOUGH DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF
GABRIELLE DURING THE LAST FEW HOURS...IT LACKS BANDING FEATURES. AN
ASCAT OVERPASS AROUND 0200 UTC SHOWED MAXIMUM WINDS IN THE 25 TO 30
KT RANGE...AND ALL OF THE SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES SUPPORT AN
INTENSITY OF 30 KT OR LOWER. BASED ON THESE DATA...GABRIELLE IS
ONCE AGAIN DOWNGRADED TO A 30-KT TROPICAL DEPRESSION

El satélite manda, y dice que los vientos no llegan a 30kt a pesar del aumento de convección

Refresa a estatus de Depresión Tropical. Mañana será absorbida por el jet

 A SLIGHT INCREASE IN THE MAXIMUM
WINDS IS POSSIBLE TODAY DUE TO BAROCLINIC PROCESSES



Si no pasa nada, el próximo será el último parte