Tal y como se ha ido comentando en el seguimiento general , Fiji inicia seguimiento sobre la Depresión Tropical 07F.

Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Advisory #3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07F
18:00 PM FST January 30 2012
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At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression 07F (1000 hPa) located at 15.9S 167.8E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots. THe depression is reported as moving east at 10 knots. Position poor based on multisatellite infrared/visible imagery with animation and peripheral surface observations.

Organization has not improved much in the past 12 hours. Convection remains to the east of the low level circulation center. System lies to the east of an upper trough and under the influence of a strong northwesterly wind flow region aloft. Depression lies in a region of moderate to high vertical shear. sea surface temperature is around 29-30C. System is being steered to the southeast by deep layer mean northwesterly into a region of decreasing shear.

Global models are gradually intensifying the system and moving it southeastwards.

Potential for this system to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 24 to 48 hours is moderate to high.

JTWC

91PINVEST.15kts-1010mb-189S-1729E



Menudo churrasco de disturbio 

 

Se mantiene igual que hace varias jornadas atrás , sin convección profunda , falta de organización y con una cizalladura elevada que ronda los 25-30 KT. Su centro se encuentra entre la isla de Nueva Caledonia y Nueva Zelanda , condiciones nefastas para cualquier tipo de desarrollo.

La marina lo mantiene como Low y Fiji dejará de seguir el sistema , esta misma noche.

Saludos