No cabe duda. La convección en torno al centro, ha aumentado de forma significativa y se está organizando. Mañana tendremos nueva "depre"

MUY buena organización , pero poca convección

Renumeran al invest 

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DEPRESIÓN TROPICAL 02L


SECOND TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE ATLANTIC SEASON FORMS OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED...

SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.9N 93.9W
ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM ESE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
ABOUT 245 MI...395 KM E OF LA PESCA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES



A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FROM SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TEXAS TO RIO SAN FERNANDO MEXICO

 

DATA FROM SATELLITES...NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT...AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THE LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE
WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO HAS ACQUIRED ENOUGH ORGANIZATION TO BE
CLASSIFIED AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION



Yo cada dia entiendo menos 

Venga chavales....esto es una coña...?

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      08/0300Z 23.9N  93.9W    30 KT
12HR VT     08/1200Z 25.0N  95.5W    35 KT
24HR VT     09/0000Z 26.0N  97.6W    40 KT...INLAND
36HR VT     09/1200Z 26.7N 100.0W    20 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND
48HR VT     10/0000Z...DISSIPATED INLAND

$$
FORECASTER STEWART/CANGIALOSI



MENUDO CHURRO!!!

Ha pasado de Invest 96L a Depresión Tropical 02L



Intensidad:



Direcciones:



Modelos:



Veremos como evoluciona.

Saludos

Ejercicio visual: intente localizar la depresión 02L en la siguiente imagen.



Yo tampoco entiendo nada, nada...  

PD: la excusa que pusieron para no nombrar depresión al Invest 92L fué que no había mantenido convección organizada durante al menos 48 horas.
Pues bien, ¿dónde está ese criterio ahora? 

Yo estoy alucinando....

A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WILL BE IN THE
AREA IN TWO OR THREE HOURS AND WILL HELP TO DETERMINE THE STATUS OF
THE SYSTEM. AT THIS TIME...IT IS ASSUMED THAT THE INTENSITY REMAINS
AT 30 KNOTS. SINCE THE GULF WATERS ARE WARM AND THE UPPER-LEVEL
ENVIRONMENT IS NOT HOSTILE...A RETURN OF THE CONVECTION IS
EXPECTED. IF SO...THE DEPRESSION COULD STILL HAVE A SMALL CHANCE TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE MOVING INLAND WITHIN THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY. THEREFORE...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
KEPT IN THIS ADVISORY. NONE OF THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE SHOW
IMPORTANT STRENGTHENING.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      08/0900Z 24.8N  95.2W    30 KT
12HR VT     08/1800Z 25.8N  96.7W    35 KT
24HR VT     09/0600Z 26.5N  99.0W    25 KT...INLAND
36HR VT     09/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

ADT: CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
     2.0 /1009.0mb/ 30.0kt

esto es lamentable...


Hay un vuelo del RECON en camino....

Lo que estaría guapo sería que ahora encontraran vientos de 35 kt....

Aun es depresión tropical 

POORLY-ORGANIZED TROPICAL DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BRING RAINS TO SOUTHERN TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO....

La presión aumentó 1 mb

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.7N 96.2W
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM E OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM NE OF LA PESCA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...25 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

 



¡Juro que nos están tomando el pelo!

Estos del NHC van a provocarle un infarto a mas de un "forecaster" aficionado 

Saludos