Pues se esta formando un buen pelotón convectivo justo en el centro del sistema con topes muy fríos, es posible que esto sea lo que le faltaba para dar el salto definitivo a Huracán.

Saludos 

Aquí está.





según ADT 61kt.

Está cerca de ser huracán.

Bueno, pues Jeff Masters comentaba en su última salida la formación de "Hot towers" cerca de su centro, si es así no tardará mucho en convertirse en huracán. 

Pos el NHC comentaba algo de que aire seco pululaba por el centro y tal... No obstante bandas convectivas en el centro, topes enfriandose... Sip, se está intensificando



Puede que en el próximo parte le conviertan en el primer huracán, ya entra dentro de plazos razonables

Algún modelo le sigue dándo un buen desarrollo.....incluso cat 2-3 entrando por la costa......

Buen aspecto, si señor.

ADT le da 61 kt, a ver que decide el NHC

Sale el nuevo AVISO del NHC .

.ALEX BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE
IN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...NEW TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN MEXICO...


ALEX se ha organizado mejor pero mantiene la misma intensidad 

SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.2N 94.0W
ABOUT 245 MI...395 KM E OF LA PESCA MEXICO
ABOUT 290 MI...465 KM SE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES

así es, mantiene 60kt

SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT ALEX HAS A SOMEWHAT RAGGED APPEARANCE
THIS MORNING...WITH A CONVECTIVE BURST OCCURRING JUST EAST OF THE
CENTER AND AN APPARENT DRY SLOT WEST OF THE CENTER. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY REMAINS 60 KT.  THE CIRRUS OUTFLOW IS FAIR TO THE NORTH
AND EAST...AND POOR ELSEWHERE.

ALEX HAS TURNED LEFT AND ACCELERATED DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS.RAWINSONDE DATA THIS MORNING SHOW HEIGHT RISES FROM
850-500 MB OVER LOUISIANA AND TEXAS...INDICATING THE LOW/MID-LEVEL
RIDGE IN THIS AREA IS STRENGTHENING AS FORECAST BY THE LARGE-SCALE
MODELS.   THE TRACK GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT ALEX WILL
GRADUALLY TURN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND WESTWARD ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF
THIS RIDGE AS IT STRENGTHENS FURTHER DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HR.
INDEED...THE ECMWF AND THE NAM SUGGEST ALEX COULD TURN SOUTH OF
WEST AFTER IT MAKES LANDFALL.  THE NEW FORECAST TRACK IS SHIFTED A
LITTLE TO THE SOUTH AND IS FASTER THAN THE PREVIOUS TRACK BASED ON
CURRENT POSITION AND MOTION.  HOWEVER...IT STILL LIES NORTH OF THE
CONSENSUS MODELS AND THE CENTER OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE.  OF THE
DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE...ONLY THE HWRF AND NOGAPS ARE CURRENTLY NORTH
OF THE OFFICIAL FORECAST.

THE CENTRAL CONVECTIVE BURST IS PRODUCING TOPS COLDER THAN
-80C...AND THE AIRCRAFT IS REPORTING A PARTIAL EYEWALL.  THESE ARE
SIGNS THAT ALEX COULD STRENGTHEN SOON.  ON THE OTHER HAND...THE
OUTFLOW IS RESTRICTED ON THE WEST SIDE WHERE THERE IS APPARENTLY
SOME DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT.  IN ADDITION...THE GFDL...HWRF...AND GFDN
DO NOT FORECAST SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING DESPITE A SEEMINGLY
FAVORABLE LIGHT-SHEAR WARM-WATER ENVIRONMENT.  THE SHIPS AND LGEM
MODELS CONTINUE TO FORECAST ALEX TO BECOME A HURRICANE...AND THE
NEW INTENSITY FORECAST FOLLOWS SUIT.  THE NEW FORECAST IS AN UPDATE
OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND LIES AT THE UPPER EDGE OF THE
INTENSITY GUIDANCE ENVELOPE.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      29/1500Z 22.7N  93.1W    60 KT
12HR VT     30/0000Z 23.7N  94.0W    65 KT
24HR VT     30/1200Z 24.7N  95.5W    75 KT
36HR VT     01/0000Z 25.2N  97.0W    80 KT
48HR VT     01/1200Z 25.7N  98.7W    50 KT
72HR VT     02/1200Z 26.0N 101.5W    25 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND
96HR VT     03/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

ADT.-

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
               4.0 / 987.3mb/ 65.0kt


Veremos que sucede 

 

La verdad que en el visible se le ve buen aspecto.



es hipnotizante, no os parece?, da vueltas y vueltas.....
Esa ULL situada al Oeste de Texas seguro que tiene algo que ver...
PERO MOLA!

esperemos que no cause muchos daños cuando toque tierra.

Pufff...que es lo que hará a Alex tener esa apariencia tan extraña ...parece a simple vista una borrasca tipica atlántica, pero solo con frentes fríos, y sin embargo es un sistema tropical.
Aire seco no parece que sea.(¿quizás a otro nivel?)


No se que pensáis, a ver que dice el NHC en el próximo parte, que catalogará seguramente a Alex como Huracán.

Huracán Alex Categoría 1

AL, 01, 2010063000,   , BEST,   0, 230N,  944W,  65,  973, HU