000
WTNT71 KNHC 010243
SPFAT1
HURRICANE FRANCES PROBABILITIES NUMBER 29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST TUE AUG 31 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST FRI SEP 3 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
22.8N 71.4W 46 X X X 46 FT PIERCE FL X X 1 15 16
24.0N 73.5W 9 24 X 1 34 COCOA BEACH FL X X 1 14 15
25.2N 75.5W X 16 11 1 28 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 12 12
MUGM 200N 751W X X 1 1 2 JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 9 9
MUCM 214N 779W X X 1 4 5 SAVANNAH GA X X X 7 7
MUCF 221N 805W X X X 4 4 CHARLESTON SC X X X 6 6
MUHA 230N 824W X X X 3 3 MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 4 4
MDPP 198N 707W 2 X X X 2 WILMINGTON NC X X X 2 2
MBJT 215N 712W 35 X X X 35 KEY WEST FL X X X 7 7
MYMM 224N 730W 25 5 X X 30 MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 10 10
MYSM 241N 745W 1 27 1 X 29 FT MYERS FL X X X 10 10
MYEG 235N 758W X 15 6 1 22 VENICE FL X X X 9 9
MYAK 241N 776W X 2 12 4 18 TAMPA FL X X X 9 9
MYNN 251N 775W X 2 15 4 21 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 8 8
MYGF 266N 787W X X 9 10 19 ST MARKS FL X X X 4 4
MARATHON FL X X 1 9 10 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 3 3
MIAMI FL X X 3 11 14 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 2 2
W PALM BEACH FL X X 3 13 16 GULF 29N 85W X X X 3 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM WED TO 8AM THU
C FROM 8AM THU TO 8PM THU
D FROM 8PM THU TO 8PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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