Una vez que parece que Nadine se retira hacia el Oeste lentamente y que no afectará finalmente a la península, que creeis que puedo ocurrir?

Durante la madrugada se ha fortalecido y parece que volverá a ser ciclón en las próxima horas, además transitará por aguas que se encuentran a 26-27º, lo cual la fortalecerá aun más, haciendo que el NHC pueda volver a monotorizarla,...

La nueva salida de GFS, aunque sin radiosondeos, la mantiene días y días casi estática cercana a Azores, y ya no la lleva a medio plazo a latitudes más altas,...

Puede aun Nadine dar sopresas?

Vaya manera de recuperarse 





Gracias por el aporte Nimbus 

El NHC aumenta al 90% la probabilidad de que Nadine vuelva a ser ciclón:

1. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
NADINE...LOCATED ABOUT 460 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE CANARY
ISLANDS...HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST SEVERAL
HOURS.  IF CURRENT TRENDS CONTINUE...THIS SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO
REGENERATE INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A
HIGH CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NADINE CAN BE FOUND
IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY METEO FRANCE.

[TS]

Ya podríamos decir que de nuevo es una señora Tormenta Tropical, esperemos que lo confirmen.

AL, 14, 2012092312,   , BEST,   0, 305N,  254W,  45,  987, TS,

Una animación para guardar.



HOLA OSCAR!!!

[...LONG-LIVED NADINE BECOMES A TROPICAL STORM AGAIN...]

Actualizando el Centro Nacional de Huracanes y van a dejan a Nadine como Nadine y no como Oscar 

...LONG-LIVED NADINE BECOMES A TROPICAL STORM AGAIN...

EL NHC la pone ya como tormenta tropical NADINE, osea el mismo nombre, aunque no han puesto ruta ni nada   

Es decir es la tormenta tropical mas extraña de todos los tiempos, jaja

[Tropical Storm NADINE Forecast Advisory]

Pronostico de Huracán para el día 26

Tropical Storm NADINE Forecast Advisory

Home   Public Adv   Fcst Adv   Discussion   Wind Probs   Graphics   Archive 

000
WTNT24 KNHC 231453
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM NADINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  44
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142012
1500 UTC SUN SEP 23 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N  25.6W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT.......180NE 150SE 120SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 600SW 600NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N  25.6W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.5N  25.4W

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 30.7N  26.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 31.0N  27.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 31.4N  28.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 31.5N  30.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 30.9N  31.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 200NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 30.5N  33.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 32.5N  36.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.6N  25.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

Trayectoria actualizada, al Oeste   

Me gusta que lo dejen como Nadine, "lo malo" es que se nos va.   
Cito: lo vi mal, no lo ven como mayor para el día 8. 

mas cosillas , nuevos pronosticos modelisticos..  1 de ellos no se si esta actualizado..

[TROPICAL STORM NADINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 44]

Discusión

000
WTNT44 KNHC 231454
TCDAT4

TROPICAL STORM NADINE DISCUSSION NUMBER  44
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142012
1100 AM AST SUN SEP 23 2012

DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NADINE HAS
INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY DURING THE PAST 12-18 HOURS. ALTHOUGH THE
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY NEAR THE CENTER HAS THINNED A BIT THIS
MORNING...THE LOW HAS MAINTAINED DEEP CONVECTION SINCE YESTERDAY
AFTERNOON. THERE HAS ALSO BEEN AN INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION OF THE
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AS THE PRIMARY BAND NOW WRAPS ABOUT HALF WAY
AROUND THE CIRCULATION. BASED ON THE IMPROVED SATELLITE APPEARANCE
AND TROPICAL CLASSIFICATIONS OF 2.5 AND 3.0 FROM SAB AND TAFB...
NADINE IS CLASSIFIED AS A TROPICAL STORM ONCE AGAIN. DROPSONDE DATA
FROM AN ONGOING NASA GLOBAL HAWK MISSION SUGGESTS THAT THE MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE NEAR 50 KT. A DROPWINDSONDE NEAR THE CENTER AROUND 1030
UTC MEASURED A PRESSURE OF 989.9 MB WITH STRONG WINDS...SO THE
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB.

NADINE DRIFTED EASTWARD OVERNIGHT...BUT A SLOW WESTWARD MOTION
APPEARS TO HAVE STARTED.  UNLIKE SEVERAL DAYS AGO...THE TRACK MODEL
GUIDANCE IS IN RELATIVELY GOOD AGREEMENT.  THE GLOBAL MODELS
INDICATE THAT NADINE WILL MOVE GENERALLY WESTWARD DURING THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS AROUND THE SOUTHEASTERN SIDE OF A DEEP-LAYER RIDGE
OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC.  THE RIDGE IS FORECAST TO SLIDE EASTWARD
NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH MOVES
INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. THIS SHOULD CAUSE NADINE TO TURN
NORTHWESTWARD LATE IN THE PERIOD.  THE NHC TRACK FORECAST IS IN
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE GUIDANCE AND NEAR THE MULTI-MODEL
CONSENSUS.

NADINE IS CURRENTLY OVER SSTS OF AROUND 26 DEGREES CELSIUS AND IN
MODERATE SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR.  THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN UNCHANGED FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS...SO LITTLE CHANGE IN
STRENGTH IS ANTICIPATED DURING THAT TIME.  IN A COUPLE OF
DAYS...THE SHEAR IS FORECAST TO DECREASE AND NADINE SHOULD BE
MOVING OVER SLIGHTLY  WARMER WATER BY THEN.  AS A RESULT...GRADUAL
STRENGTHENING IS INDICATED BY 48 HOURS.  THE NHC INTENSITY FORECAST
SHOWS NADINE ATTAINING HURRICANE IN A FEW DAYS...AND THIS IS
SUPPORTED BY BOTH THE SHIPS AND LGEM MODELS.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  23/1500Z 30.6N  25.6W   50 KT  60 MPH
12H  24/0000Z 30.7N  26.2W   50 KT  60 MPH
24H  24/1200Z 31.0N  27.4W   55 KT  65 MPH
36H  25/0000Z 31.4N  28.8W   55 KT  65 MPH
48H  25/1200Z 31.5N  30.1W   60 KT  70 MPH
72H  26/1200Z 30.9N  31.8W   65 KT  75 MPH
96H  27/1200Z 30.5N  33.5W   70 KT  80 MPH
120H  28/1200Z 32.5N  36.0W   70 KT  80 MPH

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

El JMA, sigue empeñado en Nadine, en la Peninsula. Sigue siendo el unico modelo!