[Sistema Tropical 94P]

Sistema Tropical 94P

1010mb-15kt



Sistema próximo a Nueva Caledonia-Vanuatu.Me colé en esta zona, no la tenía controlada 

El JTWC ya emite advertencia de formación tropical. La verdad que ya tiene pinta de TD
Nombre? HETTIE probablemente

[RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT A BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS]

Actualizado el JTWC, está a puntito de ser designada como TS

El catapum convectivo ha sido pistonudo en estas últimas horas

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.7S
158.4E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.4S 158.3E, APPROXIMATELY 255 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS. RECENT ANIMATED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT A BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION
HAS DEVELOPED OVER LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) OVER THE
PAST 06 HOURS (el catapum convectivo al que me refiero  ). ADDITIONALLY, A 171439Z AMSU MICROWAVE IMAGE
INDICATES THE LLCC IS CONSOLIDATING. THE MOST RECENT 170737Z
QUIKSCAT PASS SHOWS 20-KNOT UNFLAGGED WINDS AT THE CORE. AN
ANTICYCLONE IS SITUATED ALOFT OF THE DISTURBANCE AND IS
PROVIDING EXCELLENT DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR,
AND COULD FACILITATE RAPID DEVELOPMENT (altas presiones en altura provocan flujo favorable y baja cizalladura). MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE
IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. DUE TO THE IMPROVED CONVECTIVE
SIGNATURE OVER THE LLCC AND THE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT,
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD (cuando el upgraded is good, siempre acaba desarrollandose  )

Sin más pena que gloria. Como ocurriera con la TS 24P, la zona donde surgió limitaba de por si su desarrollo. Por lo que vengo observando, esa zona del Pacífico se asemeja a las proximidades de la costa E americana, donde los sistemas tropicales aumentan su velocidad de traslación considerablemente, a rebufo de la corriente del Golfo