Seguimiento de Volcanes 2014

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Re:Seguimiento de Volcanes 2014
« Respuesta #84 en: Sbado 16 Agosto 2014 16:34:26 pm »
Unconfirmed eruption in Brarbunga volcano

Posted on August 16, 2014 by Jn Frmann

This information is going to get outdated quickly as more information is collected on this activity.

During all last week (Week 33) there has been a minor earthquake swarm in Brarbunga volcano. No other activity followed this minor earthquake activity during the week until last night (16-August-2014). During the night (around 02:20 UTC) a harmonic tremor started to appear on SIL stations around Brarbunga volcano. Following the appearance of the harmonic tremor earthquake activity started around 03:30 UTC. Largest earthquakes in this swarm have magnitude around 3,0 so far. Depth is around 5 to 10 km. During the night the earthquake swarm moved around in the volcano and is now more east then it first started. According to Rv news the glacier around this part of Vatnajkull glacier is around 700 meters thick, so it going to take a major eruption to break the ice. This however also means that when a glacier flood starts in this area there is a high risk that is going to be large.


Currently the activity in Brabunga volcano is not stable, it does fluctuate a little. Besides this minor fluctuation it seems stable. Based on harmonic tremor signal and its range this does not appear to be a large eruption so far. That might change without warning. I do however expect larger earthquakes before any major volcano eruption in Brarbunga volcano. What seems to have happened is that a dike intrusion got to the surface and started this eruption, even if it is just small one at current time.

I am going to post update soon as more information gets available. This situation is going to change quickly and without much warning.

 http://www.jonfr.com/volcano/?p=4677

 http://hraun.vedur.is/ja/oroi/allarsort.html







« ltima modificacin: Sbado 16 Agosto 2014 16:53:19 pm por Rayus »

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Re:Seguimiento de Volcanes 2014
« Respuesta #85 en: Sbado 16 Agosto 2014 17:30:43 pm »
Desde luego la zona esta movida:



http://hraun.vedur.is/ja/englishweb/vatnajokull.html

Tremor:

« ltima modificacin: Sbado 16 Agosto 2014 17:32:54 pm por lantxurda »
HEGO HAIZEA, ERO HAIZEA

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Re:Seguimiento de Volcanes 2014
« Respuesta #86 en: Domingo 17 Agosto 2014 03:20:51 am »
Nivel amarillo de alerta volcnica ,segun este geofsico entrevistado por el diario islandes Mbl.is ,dice que si aumenta la intensidad de los seismos a 4/4'5 grados,podrian darse una erupcin inminente,de momento profundidades entre 5/10kms,veremos si el magma encuentra salida y si observan inundsciones en el glaciar,700 metros de hielo encima de ese monstruo de dimensiones considerables,podria erupcionar de forma violenta como pareci hacerlo en 1477 segun su historia eruptiva,con un VEI de 6,

http://www.volcano.si.edu/volcano.cfm?vn=373030

el mismo q le asignaron al Pinatubo en la erupcin de Junio del 1991.

« ltima modificacin: Domingo 17 Agosto 2014 03:28:30 am por juse »
Ser el 2011 cuando se de el maximo solar,al menos un pico del maximo solar,de este interesante ciclo 24?Pues no,Abril del 2014 con valor SSN=116'4.Esperando al Ciclo Solar 25.

Re:Seguimiento de Volcanes 2014
« Respuesta #87 en: Domingo 17 Agosto 2014 11:04:13 am »
Esta zona cualquier da nos da una "alegra" tanto el Brarbunga, el Katla o la misma fisura del Laki, cualquier da se reaniman, slo es cuestin de tiempo, enjambres de terremotos ha estado habiendo muchos, falta que aparezca el definitivo.

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Re:Seguimiento de Volcanes 2014
« Respuesta #88 en: Domingo 17 Agosto 2014 11:26:17 am »
Activity in Brdarbunga volcano

16.8.2014

Seismic activity in Brarbunga volcano has increased. A seismic swarm has been ongoing since 03AM this morning, and near continuous earthquakes have been occurring since then. The depths of earthquakes in the present swarm are in the upper crust and their magnitudes are mainly around 1.5; a few earthquakes are of magnitude greater than ML3.

Long-term seismic and GPS data indicate that there is increased unrest in the northwestern region of Vatnajkull glacier, where Brarbunga is located:

Over the last seven years seismic activity has been gradually increasing in Brarbunga and the fissure swarm north of the volcano. This activity dropped down at the Grmsvtn eruption in May 2011, but soon after, the activity started to gradually increase again and has now reached similar level of activity to that just before the Grmsvtn eruption. Earlier this year, in the middle of May 2014, there was a small swarm of over 200 events and now the present swarm has already generated at least 300 earthquakes.

Since early June 2014, displacements at GPS stations around Vatnajkull (Hamarinn, Grmsfjall, Vonarskar and Dyngjuhls) show an increased upward movement and away from Brarbunga.

Together, these two systems indicate magma movements in Brarbunga. Due to increased seismicity IMO has decided to turn volcano Bararbunga status to yellow. In case of a sub-aerial eruption, an ash plume of potential concerns for aviation will be generated. The updated map is available at the link: http://en.vedur.is/weather/aviation/volcanic-hazards/

At 23:00 on August 16, there is no unequivocal indication that magma has reached the surface.

http://en.vedur.is/about-imo/news/nr/2936

HEGO HAIZEA, ERO HAIZEA

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Re:Seguimiento de Volcanes 2014
« Respuesta #89 en: Domingo 17 Agosto 2014 19:59:30 pm »
En esta imagen se puede observar  la localizacin y la profundidad de los terremotos. Ahora mismo hay contabilizados 1079 terremotos.

https://foro.tiempo.com/imagenes/imagen-no-existe.png

Earthquake count:
Magnitude less than 1 in all:  191
Magnitude 1 to 2 in all:  758
Magnitude 2 to 3 in all:  123
Magnitude more than 3 in all:  7
Total: 1079

http://en.vedur.is/earthquakes-and-volcanism/earthquakes/#view=table




http://en.vedur.is/earthquakes-and-volcanism/earthquakes/#view=map
« ltima modificacin: Domingo 17 Agosto 2014 20:01:47 pm por Rayus »

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Re:Seguimiento de Volcanes 2014
« Respuesta #90 en: Lunes 18 Agosto 2014 01:09:16 am »
Siguen producindose temblores superiores a 3 Richter eventualmente en la zona del Vatnajkull, justo donde se encuentra el Bardarbunga. Grfico de las ltimas 48 horas...



Un saludo.
San Martn de la Vega del Alberche (1524msnm)
vila . Zona Norte (1130msnm)
Valladolid, zona este  (700msnm)

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Re:Seguimiento de Volcanes 2014
« Respuesta #91 en: Lunes 18 Agosto 2014 18:46:15 pm »
Han subido la alerta para le aviacin a naranja:

Seismic activity at Brarbunga persists

18.8.2014

The intense seismic activity that started on 16 of August at Brarbunga persists. Very strong indications of ongoing magma movement, in connection with dyke intrusion, is corroborated by GPS measurements. There are currently two swarms: one to the E of Brarbunga caldera and one at the edge of Dyngjujkull just E of Kistufell. At 2.37 am on the 18th a strong earthquake (M4) was located in the Kistufell swarm.

This is the strongest earthquake measured in the region since 1996. As evidence of magma movement shallower than 10 km implies increased potential of a volcanic eruption, the Brarbunga aviation color code has been changed to orange. Presently there are no signs of eruption, but it cannot be excluded that the current activity will result in an explosive subglacial eruption, leading to an outburst flood (jkulhlaup) and ash emission. The situation is monitored closely.

http://en.vedur.is/about-imo/news/nr/2938
HEGO HAIZEA, ERO HAIZEA

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Re:Seguimiento de Volcanes 2014
« Respuesta #92 en: Lunes 18 Agosto 2014 19:57:50 pm »
Los sensores gps estan sufriendo cambios que hacen pensar que el magma quisiera salir al exterior,esto se empieza a poner interesante,pero no creo que haya una erupcin tipo 1477 cuando la caldera dicen que al quedar tocada,las posteriores erupciones han sido benignas con la mayoria de VEI=2,pero las dimensiones del sistema volcnico de este monstruo el mas grande de Islandia,dan respeto.

"Defensa Civil se reuni con cientficos Oficina Meteorolgica y el Instituto de Ciencias de la Tierra de la Universidad de Islandia situacin hoy. La Oficina Meteorolgica dice que j arskjlftavirknin que comenz en Brarbunga 16 de agosto continuar. Seguimiento de localizacin GPS proporciona una fuerte evidencia de movimiento de magma. En el caso de un enjambre terremoto animaciones de movimiento al este de Brarbunga cartn y los Dyngjujkuls borde justo al este de Kistufell."
Ser el 2011 cuando se de el maximo solar,al menos un pico del maximo solar,de este interesante ciclo 24?Pues no,Abril del 2014 con valor SSN=116'4.Esperando al Ciclo Solar 25.

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Re:Seguimiento de Volcanes 2014
« Respuesta #93 en: Lunes 18 Agosto 2014 21:42:41 pm »
En la 2 ahora un reportaje del katla y volcanes islandeses
Valladolid, el paraiso de la NO-NIEVE. (Parquesol) A unos 780 msnm.

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Re:Seguimiento de Volcanes 2014
« Respuesta #94 en: Lunes 18 Agosto 2014 22:09:59 pm »
ya tenemos webcam recientemente colocada apuntando al "bicho".

 http://vedur2.mogt.is/grimsfjall/webcam/

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Re:Seguimiento de Volcanes 2014
« Respuesta #95 en: Martes 19 Agosto 2014 16:30:59 pm »
ya tenemos webcam recientemente colocada apuntando al "bicho".

 http://vedur2.mogt.is/grimsfjall/webcam/

Estaremos atentos, que hace 600 aos fuese un VEI 6, da respeto, porque geolgicamente fue hace nada.
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