Woooah!!
Menudas imágenes compañero, sin duda absolutamente impresionantes, esos 55 nudos son cortisimos, yo viendo "ese aspecto" le doy 70-75kts la verdad.
Comentar que este bichillo ha dejado algunas victimas mortales (7) y numerosos daños materiales a lo largo de su trayectoria por Filipinas. Como siempre en estos casos, toca esperar a los recuentos oficiales, es lo malo de estas cosas.
Un saludo y vamos a ver hasta donde llega el amiguito, por que tiene una pinta..... ![Roll Eyes ::)](https://foro.tiempo.com/Smileys/default/rolleyes.gif)
Efectivamente compañeros. NOCK-TEN es ya Tifón Cat.1 con 65 kt. El último parte del JTWC y las imágenes del SAT no dejan lugar a dudas.
WDPN31 PGTW 270300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 10W (NOCK-TEN)//
WARNING NR 10//
RMKS/
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 12 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
A. TYPHOON 10W (NOCK-TEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 90 NM NORTHEAST
OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST
24 HOURS (35 TO 65 KNOTS) AND HAS RECENTLY DEVELOPED A SMALL, RAGGED
EYE EVIDENT IN VISIBLE/INFRARED IMAGERY. A 270007Z SSMIS IMAGE
DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH A
90NM DIAMETER EYEWALL. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD
EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW AND FAIR POLEWARD OUTFLOW ENHANCED BY A TUTT
CELL POSITIONED SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS
ASSESSED AT 65 KNOTS BASED ON THE EYE SIGNATURE AND A DVORAK
ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS FROM PGTW. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE
CURRENT POSITION BASED ON VISIBLE AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY.
3. FORECAST REASONING.
A. NO CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY.
B. THE 27/00Z UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSES INDICATE A STRONG HIGH
ANCHORED NEAR 30N 145E WITH A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) EXTENDING
WESTWARD ACROSS OKINAWA AND SOUTHWESTWARD INTO SOUTHERN CHINA. BASED
ON THIS STRONG STR MAINTAINING THROUGH THE PERIOD, TY 10W IS
EXPECTED TO TRACK INCREASINGLY WESTWARD. THIS SYNOPTIC ENVIRONMENT
SUPPORTS A STRAIGHT RUNNER TRACK AND THE DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE IS
IN EXCEPTIONALLY TIGHT AGREEMENT (WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE
BAROTROPIC MODEL). THIS FORECAST IS POSITIONED CLOSE TO THE MODEL
CONSENSUS. TY 10W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT CROSSES THE LUZON BUT
SHOULD RE-INTENSIFY UNDER GENERALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS AS IT
TRACKS ACROSS THE SOUTH CHINA SEA.
C. IN THE EXTENDED TAUS, THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TRACKING
WESTWARD WITH SLIGHT WEAKENING OVER HAINAN ISLAND AND WILL DISSIPATE
AS IT TRACKS INTO VIETNAM AFTER TAU 96. MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN
EXCEPTIONAL AGREEMENT.