Próximo target en el Pacífico Este, a medio plazo. Los modelos muestran un leve desarrollo, y el NHC activa el código rojo.



2. Satellite wind data indicate that the low pressure area
located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of
the Baja California peninsula is likely producing winds to gale
force to the southeast of its center.  Although the associated
shower and thunderstorm activity has been decreasing over the past
few hours, any increase in thunderstorm activity could result in
the formation of a tropical cyclone tonight or tomorrow while the
system moves westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent.

Por cierto, estrenamos "colorines", ya no hay el clásico circulo, sino que ha sido modificado por una cruz.

A ver como evoluciona el sistema y como responde ante la elevada SST

CitarA ver como evoluciona el sistema y como responde ante la elevada SST 

Pues nada, que se ha hinchado y ha decidido pasar de Invest a Tormenta Tropical.
El NHC ha emitido un aviso especial a toda pastilla, visto lo visto y como no,  por el inefable STEWART, que este año está que se sale.

Citar000
WTPZ31 KNHC 072219
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062014
330 PM PDT MON JUL 07 2014

...SIXTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON DEVELOPS...
...NO THREAT TO LAND...

SUMMARY OF 330 PM PDT...2230 UTC...INFORMATION
---------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.5N 120.1W
ABOUT 1145 MI...1840 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 330 PM PDT...2230 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 120.1 WEST. FAUSTO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO THROUGH TUESDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD
THE WEST-NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...
MAINLY TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART

Bonito aspecto el que presenta en estos momentos, con toda la convección tapando su centro. Según Dvorak:
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
2.6 /1009.5mb/ 37.0kt

Pico de intensidad previsto por las agencias: 55 kts.

Bonito sistema

Fausto pasa a ser historia tropical.

Satellite imagery, overnight scatterometer data, and a recent GPM
microwave overpass indicate that Fausto has degenerated to a trough
of low pressure.  The remnants of the cyclone are expected to
continue a general west-northwestward motion for the next several
days through an area of increasing vertical wind shear and
mid-level dry air.  This combination is likely to prevent
regeneration.

This is the last advisory issued on Fausto by the National Hurricane
Center.