Ciclón Tropical ANTHONY Categoría 2 (Tormenta Tropical 09P S.S-NE Australia)

Esta siendo verdaderamente aplastado por la vaguada , aunque en las ultimas 6 horas ha empezado a generar convección.



El GFS  le da Cat.2 al llegar al norte Cains , pero no se yo hasta que punto le puede afectar Wilma a Anthony .... , por lo que me da la sensación a mi que no realizara el giro al W- NW y seguirá dirección New Zelanda... pero esto es una suposición mía .

Ultimo parte BOM:

IDQ20065
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland Region
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BULLETIN
For 3:09 pm EST on Tuesday 25 January 2011
At 2 pm EST Tuesday, Ex-Tropical Cyclone Anthony with central pressure 994 hPa
was located
over the eastern Coral Sea near latitude 19.6 south longitude 160.7 east, which
is about 1210 km east of Mackay.

Ex-Tropical Cyclone Anthony is situated over the eastern Coral Sea and is slow
moving. The system is forecast to develop a west northwesterly track tonight
and into Wednesday while remaining below tropical cyclone strength.

No further Tropical Cyclone Information Bulletins will be issued unless the
system redevelops.

JTWC es de risa, resulta que en el ultimo parte que emitirán sobre este sistema ya da al sistema por prácticamente muerto, declarandolo como baja remanente en 12 horas

Yo la verdad que no lo haría...


TC
09P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN DUE TO THE UNFAVORABLE VWS IN
ADDITION TO COOL DRY AIR ADVECTING FROM THE SOUTH, AS EVIDENCED ON
PREVIOUS MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY. HOWEVER, NUMERICAL MODELS ARE
INDICATING THE SYSTEM WILL REGENERATE AFTER TAU 60 AS UPPER-LEVEL
CONDITIONS IMPROVE AND THE SYSTEM MOVES INTO A MOISTER ENVIRONMENT
EAST OF CAIRNS.

30kts-1000mb

Le veo con mejor aspecto.............................................

El visible llega a los remanentes de ANTHONY

Insisto, por mucho que se empeñen JTWC y BOM en dar por finiquitado a Anthony, yo, personalmente, creo que no lo está.


Las próximas horas serán cruciales, pero me temo que conseguirá readquirir el status de tormenta tropical con 35 kts.

35 kT  996 HPA

Pues Pepe estas en lo cierto por el momento el BOM comenta que en las siguientes 12 a 24 horas se va a reorganizar.

SITUATION

At 1200 UTC Ex-Tropical Cyclone Anthony was centred within 30 nautical miles of
 latitude eighteen decimal six south (18.6S)
 longitude one hundred and fifty eight decimal zero east (158.0E)
Recent movement : west northwest at 6 knots
Maximum winds   : 35 knots
Central pressure: 996 hPa

Ex-Tropical Cyclone Anthony may redevelop into a tropical cyclone during the
next 12 to 24 hours.

La convección eso si ha empezado aparecer un poco más cerca de su LLCC.





Saludos

ANTHONY ha regresado y de nuevo le lanzan la alerta de formación tropical 

La tonteria esta de ANTHONY vuelve a estar expuesta. La última captura del visible muestra un pequeño burstazo en el LLCC



P.D: todavía no ha dicho su última palabra 

Si esto no es una Tormenta tropical......


Lamentable

Ultima salida del europeo.



Esto dicen desde Bureau.

IDQ20008
SECURITE

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE BRISBANE
AT 1859UTC 27 JANUARY 2011

GALE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA

SITUATION

At 1800 UTC Ex-Tropical Cyclone Anthony was centred within 40 nautical miles of
 latitude sixteen decimal one south (16.1S)
 longitude one hundred and fifty four decimal four east (154.4E)
Recent movement : north at 6 knots
Maximum winds   : 35 knots
Central pressure: 995 hPa

Ex-Tropical Cyclone Anthony is likely to redevelop into a tropical cyclone
during the next 6 to 18 hours.

AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles in the northern semicircle
  and within 90 nautical miles in SE quadrant
  and within 180 nautical miles in SW quadrant

FORECAST
NE/SE winds 30/35 knots within 90 nautical miles in SE quadrant and within 180
nautical miles in SW quadrant.

NW/NE winds 30/35 knots developing within 90 nautical miles in the northern
semicircle by 0600 UTC 28 January.

Very rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.

Forecast positions
At 0600 UTC 28 January: Within 70 nautical miles of 15.0 south 154.0 east
                        Central pressure 992 hPa.
                        Winds to 35 knots
At 1800 UTC 28 January: Within 100 nautical miles of 13.9 south 153.5 east
                        Central pressure 989 hPa.
                        Winds to 40 knots.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular
weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either
email to [email protected] or fax to +61732200221 or satellite to SAC 1241
through Land Earth Station Perth 212.

Next warning will be issued by 0100 UTC 28 January 2011.

WEATHER BRISBANE



Lamentable x 1.000

BOM

Ex-Tropical Cyclone Anthony is likely to redevelop into a tropical cyclone
during the next 6 to 18 hours

La cizalladura se situa en torno a 20-25kt sobre el sistema, aunque bajará gradualmente debido a que al S-SW se están gestando altas presiones, que ayudarán a mejorar el ouflow, y con ello, presentar una forma más simétrica que la que ahora presenta

 



 

Siento ser tan pesado con Anthony, pero es que mirad: