Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Mar 22/0857 UTC 2011 UTC.TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TD13F ANALYSED NEAR 17.2S 174.9W AT 220600 UTC
SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT IR WITH ANIMATION AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. SST AROUND
30 DEGREES.
ORGANISATION REMAINS POOR. CONVECTION HAS SLIGHTLY INCREASED IN THE
PAST 12 HOURS.
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION DISPLACED FROM SURFACE CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION. SYSTEM LIES UNDER AN UPPER TROUGH IN A
MODERATELYSHEARED ENVIRONMENT.
GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND ARE MOVING IT IN A
SOUTHWESTERLY DIRECTION WITH SOME
INTENSIFICATION.
POTENTIAL FOR THE DISTURBANCE TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN
THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW TO MODERATE. * Importante convección en las ultimas 6 Horas.
* Mejora sustancial de su circulación y organización.
* Cizalladura 10- 15 nudos.
* SST a
30º99PINVEST.20kts-1007mb-174S-1762W*
JTWC = POOR
THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS
POOR.Pena penita pena .... Trayectoria
Sur. El
Europeo es
No me enrrollo más ya tenemos seguimiento de un posible Bicho...