En el radar
Yasi ya asoma sus bandas más accidentales ...
JTWC WARNING POSITION:
011200Z --- NEAR 14.9S 153.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS -
120 KT, GUSTS 145 KTTROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 11P (YASI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 450 NM EAST-
NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 17
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS A 10 NM EYE, FROM WHICH THE INITIAL POSITION WAS BASED. THE
INITIAL INTENSITY WAS BASED ON PGTW AND ABRF DVORAK ESTIMATES
RANGING FROM 115 TO 127 KNOTS. A POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL INTO AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW TO THE SOUTH, ALONG WITH GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW
HAS ALLOWED FOR RAPID INTENSIFICATION WITHIN THE PAST 12 HOURS. TC
11P IS CURRENTLY TRACKING ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF A DEEP
LAYER SUBTROPICAL STEERING RIDGE AND IS EXPECTED TO TRACK GENERALLY
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM SHOULD
CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY DUE TO EXCELLENT OUTFLOW, LOW VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR, AND FAVORABLE OCEANIC CONDITIONS. AROUND TAU 24, THE SYSTEM
IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL JUST SOUTH OF CAIRNS AND BEGIN
WEAKENING AS IT TRACKS INLAND. THE AVAILABLE NUMERICAL MODEL
GUIDANCE IS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT AND TRACK CONFIDENCE IS HIGH.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z IS 38 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 020300Z AND 021500Z.//
Monster cyclone likely to hit Cairns
172 Respuestas
57180 Vistas