Depresión Tropical 01W (Malasia - Vietnam - Mar de la China Meridional)

Primera Depresión Tropical y fuera de temporada en el Pacífico W. 

Llevaba días visualizando al Invest 93W porque mostraba bastantes síntomas de organización , pero no le daba mucha esperanzas , y mira por donde según la marina , podrá alcanzar la categoría de Tormenta Tropical.

El 01W es la primera Depresión Tropical nombrada por el JTWC en este 2012 , dicho sistema se encuentra actualmente a unos 400 kilometros al norte de Malasia , moviéndose a una velocidad de 17 KT y registrando vientos del orden de los 25 kt - 30 kt.

La agencia meteorológica de Malasia advirtió de la gran actividad tormentosa que se esta registrando en el Mar de la China Meridional y emitió una advertencia de vientos fuertes y una mar bastante brava para toda la región del SCS.

01WONE.20kts-1007mb-92N-1137E



De momentos presenta signos evidentes de organización y generando alguna que otra banda en espiral convectiva significante pero la convección profunda sigue estando bastante dispersa.

Vietnam en el punto de mira.

Saludos.

Tropical Depression 01W (One) Warning #02 Final Warning
Issued at 17/2100Z

En que estarán pensando el JTWC... Un poco de seriedad.

 



Pepe no muevas el Topic de momento por si acaso , seguiré la evolución del disturbio.

 

 

(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.8N
112.2E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.5N 113.1E, APPROXIMATELY 380 NM EAST
OF HO CHI MINH, VIETNAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) ASSOCIATED WITH THE
REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W HAS MAINTAINED ORGANIZATION
WHILE MEANDERING OVER THE SPRATLEYS. THE BROAD AND CLOUD-FREE LLCC
IS DRIFTING SLOWLY WESTWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AND HAS SHOWN A
FLAT 24-HR PRESSURE TREND. ALTHOUGH INFLOW IS WEAK OVER THE
EQUATORWARD SEMICIRCLE, OBSERVATIONS ALONG THE BORNEO COAST SHOW
CONSISTENT OFF-SHORE FLOW AND VISUAL IMAGERY REVEALS WELL-DEVELOPED
CLOUD BANDS SURROUNDING THE LLCC. THE LLCC IS IN 27 DEGREE SEA
WATERS WITH 15-20 KNOTS OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE TOP OF THE
SYSTEM. ALL DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM IS A RESULT
OF CONVERGENCE IN THE MONSOONAL NORTHEASTERLIES AND IS DISPLACED
WELL TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE LLCC. THE LLCC IS PERSISTING PRIMARILY
BECUASE OF INDUCED SPIN ON THE POLEWARD SIDE, WHICH IS ASSOCIATED
WITH A MONSOONAL SURGE DRIVEN BY A 1032MB HIGH THAT IS CURRENTLY
OVER SHANGHAI. AS THE HIGH EASES OFF-SHORE AND WEAKENS OVER THE
NEXT 48 HOURS, THE INDUCED BOUNDARY LEVEL VORTICITY WILL EASE.
NONETHELESS, ANY POLEWARD DRIFT OF THE LLCC WILL BRING THE IT
UNDERNEATH THE DEEP CONVECTION AND INTO A REGION OF SHARPLY REDUCED
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. CONVERSELY, ANY EQUATORWARD MOVEMENT WILL BRING
THE SYSTEM INTO AN AREA OF 30 TO 40 KNOTS OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND
PREVENT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. CURRENT MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THE
LLCC WILL DRIFT SLOWLY WESTWARD AND FILL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. GIVEN THE INTEGRITY OF THE LLCC, THE
DEPTH OF THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH IT, AND THE PROXIMITY OF THE
LLCC TO LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT AS A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE REMAINS MEDIUM.

 

Las condiciones ambientales no son nada favorables para cualquier tipo de desarrollo a día de hoy.



Queda finiquitada la primera Depresión Tropical de la temporada en la cuenca Pacífica w.