Huracán ERNESTO Cat.2 (05-L. MDR - I.Antillas - Bermuda - Atlántico Norte)

Ernesto en el horizonte



1. Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles (AL98):
Showers and thunderstorms continue to show some signs of
organization in association with a broad area of low pressure
located about 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. 
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the
next couple of days while the system approaches and then moves near
or over the Leeward Islands.  Interests on these islands should
continue to monitor the progress of this system, and watches
or warnings could be required for portions of the area as soon as
later today.  The system could approach portions of the Greater
Antilles by the middle of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Ernesto como Tormenta Tropical con 35kts



Assuming that deep convection will increase near the center of
Ernesto, the high-level outflow and otherwise conducive oceanic and
atmospheric environment favors strengthening during the next few
days.  Although the intensification is expected to be gradual during
the early part of the period, a more rapid rate of strengthening is
likely after the system moves north of the Greater Antilles.

Pico de 95kts camino de Bermuda. Muy pragmáticos los pronosticadores del NHC. Bermuda se va a comer un Major.

Posteriormente y a largo plazo podría afectar a las Islas Británicas como sistema extratropical.

ERNESTO con 75kt subiendo como la espuma camino de Bermuda

ERNESTO ya es Huracán Categoría. 2 con 85kts. Aire seco en su circulación ha ralentizado su crecimiento

ERNESTO, como cat. 1, atraviesa Bermuda

Tras superar Bermuda, ha perdido el estatus de huracán durante unas 24 horas, pero el NHC y las imágenes del satélite donde se ve un incipiente ojo, anticipan que recupere el estatus