Huracán IKE Categoría 4 (Turcos y Caicos-Bahamas-Haití-Cuba-EE.UU)

Según técnica DVORAK, IKE es nuevo Huracán en el Atlántico, con vientos sostenidos de 65kt



De todas formas, no se puede saber si hay confimración oficial, porque la página del NHC y de la marina americana están caput

 

... Aun no es Huracán... dice el NHC.

...IKE ALMOST A HURRICANE...

AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IKE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.2 WEST OR ABOUT 740
MILES...1190 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY...
FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO THE WEST ON FRIDAY...TAKING IKE
OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE WEST-CENTRAL ATLANTIC DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.  IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE WHAT IF ANY LAND AREAS
MIGHT BE DIRECTLY AFFECTED BY IKE.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO...AND IKE IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER
TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES.


Según el nuevo parte del NHC que acaban de poner esta muy cerca de serlo pero  no lo es.

Saludos 

TROPICAL STORM IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
1500 UTC WED SEP 03 2008

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 51.2W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 75NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 45SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 180SE 60SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

Pues.... eso mismo 

Ya es seguro su ascenso a Huracán en el próximo parte, o previamente si emiten uno intermedio

Y esta tomando un aspecto imponente

 

Y esta tomando un aspecto imponente

Y eso que esta practicamente rodeada de  ambiente seco.

Cita de: Angetotti en Miércoles 03 Septiembre 2008 18:51:29 pm

Y esta tomando un aspecto imponente

Y eso que esta practicamente rodeada de  ambiente seco.

En el blog de Jeff Master hablan de que IKE ha generado una especie de proteccion, para evitar que la tormenta sea mermada por elaire seco

Parece que el anillo convectivo este cerrado, y si no fuera por quele falta un gran ojo y los vientos (DVORAK sigue dando 61 kt) pareceria una huracan anular. Vamos que lo que quiero decir es que carece de bandas convectivas 

Si si, Cat. 4 

En menos de 18 horas, de Tormenta Tropical de 60kt, a Huracán Cat. 4 de 125kt 

Alguna imagen, y voy a estudiarlo mas a fondo, porque incluso parece que tiene pinhole

Huracán IKE Categoría 4

935mb-125kt







 

Ha sido brutal el fortalecimiento...

vaya bicho...este si que tiene peleigro

000
WTNT34 KNHC 040837
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
500 AM AST THU SEP 04 2008

...IKE EVEN STRONGER AS IT CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT IKE HAS INTENSIFIED SOME MORE. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 145 MPH...230
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. 

THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.

IT IS EXPECTED THAT IKE WILL MAINTAIN CATEGORY FOUR OR CATEGORY THREE INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.


ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 935 MB...27.61 INCHES.