Down to
50 KTSTHE NEW TRACK IS SHIFTED A LITTLE TO THE SOUTH OF THE
PREVIOUS TRACK FOR THE FIRST 48 HR.
KARL SHOULD WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY THE TIME IT REACHES
THE WEST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.
ONCE THE CENTER REACHES
WATER...THE COMBINATION OF WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND LIGHT
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SHOULD ALLOW RE-INTENSIFICATION AS FORECAST BY
ALL GUIDANCE. THE NEW INTENSITY FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST...CALLING FOR KARL TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE
MAKING LANDFALL IN MAINLAND MEXICO. KARL SHOULD WEAKEN AFTER ITS
SECOND LANDFALL AND DISSIPATED OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF CENTRAL MEXICO
BY 120 HR.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 15/1500Z 18.6N 88.2W 50 KT...INLAND
12HR VT 16/0000Z 19.1N 89.7W 35 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 16/1200Z 20.1N 91.7W 30 KT...OVER WATER
36HR VT 17/0000Z 20.9N 93.7W 45 KT
48HR VT 17/1200Z 21.3N 95.2W 60 KT
72HR VT 18/1200Z 21.5N 98.0W
75 KT...INLAND
96HR VT 19/1200Z 21.0N 101.0W 25 KT...INLAND
120HR VT 20/1200Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
Se me hace corto, ya lo dije....