No se puede explicar mejor Pedro
LISA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE VERY
LITTLE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT REMAINS TRAPPED IN A
MID-LEVEL COL REGION BETWEEN A RIDGE TO THE EAST OVER AFRICA...A
RIDGE TO THE WEST OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...AND A SHARP TROUGH TO
THE NORTH BETWEEN THE AZORES AND CANARY ISLANDS.
AFTER 48
HOURS...THE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO LIFT NORTHEASTWARD TOWARDS EUROPE
AND THE AFRICAN RIDGE WILL THEN BUILD WESTWARD...NUDGING LISA A
LITTLE FARTHER WEST OVER THE ATLANTIC. THE TRACK GUIDANCE IS IN
AGREEMENT ON THIS SCENARIO... AND THE NHC FORECAST IS VERY CLOSE TO
THE MODEL CONSENSUS TVCN AND THE PREVIOUS FORECAST.
SOME STRENGTHENING IS STILL
POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS WHILE THE SHEAR REMAINS
RELATIVELY LOW...BUT INCREASING SHEAR AFTER THAT TIME SHOULD CAUSE
WEAKENING. THERE IS GREATER SPREAD IN THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE AFTER
48 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 22/1500Z 17.1N 30.5W 40 KT
12HR VT 23/0000Z 17.1N 30.3W 40 KT
24HR VT 23/1200Z 17.0N 30.3W 45 KT
36HR VT 24/0000Z 17.0N 30.7W 45 KT
48HR VT 24/1200Z 17.3N 31.3W 50 KT
72HR VT 25/1200Z 18.5N 33.0W 50 KT
96HR VT 26/1200Z 20.0N 35.0W 45 KT
120HR VT 27/1200Z 21.5N 38.5W 35 KT
$$
FORECASTER BERG
El PRE es de libro, pasaos si podéis por el tópic en meteo-general