Huracán SIMON Categoría 4 (19-E. Sur México - Pacífico Este)

Siguiente sistema en formación... ya no sorprende la verdad



1. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending
from near the coast of southeastern Mexico southward for several
hundred miles is associated with a broad area of low pressure.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual
development, and a tropical depression could form around the middle
part of the week while the system drifts west-northwestward or
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent.

Nace la decimonovena depresión tropical en el EPAC con 25kts-1004mb.

AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
NINETEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.4
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH
...13 KM/H...AND A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF THE
CYCLONE WILL PASS WELL OFFSHORE OF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO
TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
AND THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON
THURSDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN

Bonito sistema el que se está gestando frente a las costas mexicanas. De momento sube a 35kts-1002mb

A ver hasta donde es capaz de llegar.

Tenemos otro nuevo huracán en el EPAC.



Simon
has the opportunity to strengthen a little more during the next 24
hours as it continues to move over a pool of 29.5 degree Celsius
water and extremely low shear.

Pico de 85 nudos.

Solo para actualizar el huracan Simon de momento a subido a la categoria 3 convirtiendose en un major huracan con vientos maximos de 120 MPH y una presion minima de 950 MB, pobres los de baja california :S apenas acaban de pasar de un huracan y de nuevo otro a la vuelta de la esquina, esperemos no pase a mayores y llegue como depresion tropical segun los modelos de pronostico, saludos!

Actualizando una vez mas , acabo de mirar que nuestro amigo Simon a subido de categoria 3 a 4 :S con vientos maximos de 130 MPH y una presion central minima de 946 MB se quedaron cortos todos los pronosticos que decian que no iba pasar de la categoria 1, saludos.

Esto si que ha sido una sorpresa.



Menudo sistemita....

Simon pasa a ser historia tropical, tocando tierra en la zona de Baja California como depresión tropical.