TROPICAL STORM LORENZO SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132007
100 PM CDT THU SEP 27 2007
...
AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE FINDS TROPICAL STORM LORENZO IN
THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO
FROM PALMA SOLA TO CABO ROJO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST OF
MEXICO FROM NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO LA CRUZ. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 100 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LORENZO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.5 WEST OR ABOUT 130
MILES...205 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TUXPAN MEXICO...AND 130
MILES...205 KM SOUTHEAST OF CABO ROJO MEXICO.
LORENZO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/HR (muy despacio).
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.
DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT
THE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS (no se esperan cambios significaticos en las próximas 24h).
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
FROM THE CENTER MAINLY TO THE WEST OF THE CENTER.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE WAS
IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
LORENZO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF VERACRUZ...WITH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 100 PM CDT POSITION...20.5 N...95.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
400 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 27/1800Z 20.5N 95.5W 50 KT---TORMENTA TROPICAL
12HR VT 28/0000Z 20.4N 96.0W 55 KT---TORMENTA TROPICAL
24HR VT 28/1200Z 20.3N 96.7W 55 KT---TORMENTA TROPICAL
36HR VT 29/0000Z 20.5N 97.5W 30 KT...INLAND---TOCA TIERRA---DEPRESIÓN TROPICAL
48HR VT 29/1200Z 21.0N 99.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW---REMANENTES DEPRESIÓN TROPICAL
72HR VT 30/1200Z...DISSIPATED---DISIPANDOSE
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
TORMENTA TROPICAL LORENZO
1004mb y 52kt