Huracán ALEX Categoría 2 (01L Caribe SW- P. Yucatán- GOM - México)

Iniciado por Pepeavilenho, Lunes 21 Junio 2010 15:30:38 PM

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Pepeavilenho

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Que qué dice?
esto: ::)

182600 1656N 08715W 9237 00707 9990 +181 +999 219053 059 067 034 05

puf puf...

Parungo

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#121
Cita de: pepeavilenho en Sábado 26 Junio 2010 20:52:37 PM
Que qué dice?
esto: ::)

182600 1656N 08715W 9237 00707 9990 +181 +999 219053 059 067 034 05

puf puf...

:nononono:

182600 1656N 08715W 9237 00707 9990 +181 +999 219053 059 067 034 05

Pd: ahora estoy en duda... espera que quizás lleves razón. ;)

Parungo

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#122
Lo pongo aquí y luego abriré un hilo para que se quede en el Subforo de Teoría y Datos Generales.



URNT15 KNHC 200524
AF304 1104A DEAN               HDOB 41 20070820

052400 1734N 07907W 6964 02970 9877 +071 +071 168098 099 068 012 00


Taking the last line:

1) Time: 05:24:00 GMT
2) Latitude: 17° 34'N (17.57°N)
3) Longitude: 79° 7'W (79.12°W)
4) Static pressure in aeroplane of 696.4 mb (hPa)
5) Geopotential height of 2970 m
6) 30 second surface pressure mean extrapolation of 987.7 mb (hPa)
7) 30 second mean air temperature of +7.1C
8 ) 30 second mean dew point of +7.1C
9) 30 second mean wind direction of 168 degrees
10) 30 second mean wind of 98 kts
11) Ten second gust of 99 kts
12) Peak ten second Stepped Frequency Microwave Radiometer [SFMR] surface wind of 68 kts
13) SFMR precipitation rate of 12 mm/hr
14) Suspect data codes are as follows:


First column indicates status of positional variables as follows:
0 All parameters of nominal accuracy
1 Lat/lon questionable
2 Geopotential altitude or static pressure questionable
3 Both lat/lon and GA/PS questionable

Second column indicates status of meteorological variables as follows:
0 All parameters of nominal accuracy
1 T or TD questionable
2 Flight-level winds questionable
3 SFMR parameter(s) questionable
4 T/TD and FL winds questionable
5 T/TD and SFMR questionable
6 FL winds and SFMR questionable
9 T/TD, FL winds, and SFMR questionable



Llevaba usted razón, siempre y cuando no haya código de error y en este caso sí lo hay.  ;)


Pd: pues NO, eran más nudos... :mucharisa: 67kt pero con error... ;)



Si lo mirais por aquí, es más sencillo. Es programa en versión Beta que decodifica el código del RECON:

http://tropicalatlantic.com/recon/URNT15/KNHC/

;)

Parungo

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Más datos; son del tipo vortex: 56kt

Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 26th day of the month at 19:19Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 302)
Storm Number & Year: 01L in 2010
Storm Name: Alex (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 3
Observation Number: 09
A. Time of Center Fix: 26th day of the month at 19:08:30Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 17°19'N 87°28'W (17.3167N 87.4667W)
B. Center Fix Location: 49 miles (79 km) to the ESE (105°) from Belize City, Belize.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 655m (2,149ft) at 925mb
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 56kts (~ 64.4mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 29 nautical miles (33 statute miles) to the S (182°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 237° at 52kts (From the WSW at ~ 59.8mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 26 nautical miles (30 statute miles) to the S (181°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 996mb (29.41 inHg) - Extrapolated
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 19°C (66°F) at a pressure alt. of 755m (2,477ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 24°C (75°F) at a pressure alt. of 764m (2,507ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 22°C (72°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Not Available
M. Eye Shape: Not Available
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 925mb (If this vortex is from mid 1990's or earlier 925mb might be incorrect. See note.)
O. Navigation Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 4 nautical miles
Remarks Section:
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 52kts (~ 59.8mph) in the south quadrant at 18:59:50Z
Sea Level Pressure Extrapolation From: 925mb

Pepeavilenho

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Vale, después de leermelo unas 437 veces, creo que lo voy cogiendo.. :-[
Thanks for the explanation, Parungus 8)

Una animación.


;)


Parungo

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HurricaneMex'

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Web Cam

Grand Palladium, rivera maya , quintana roo



Playa del carmén , quintana roo


Ermuleto

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Preciosa Tormenta Tropical.
Canovelles, Barcelona, España.

Pepeavilenho

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Ahí está, 55 nudos

AN AIR FORCE PLANE REACHED ALEX AND FOUND THAT THE CYCLONE WAS A
LITTLE STRONGER...WITH A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 996 MB AND
FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF 59 KNOTS ON THE SOUTH SIDE. THERE WERE
SEVERAL SFMR VALUES AROUND 55 KNOTS...AND THIS IS THE VALUE USED
FOR THE INITIAL INTENSITY. THIS INTENSITY IS ALSO IN AGREEMENT WITH
THE LATEST T-NUMBERS WHICH REACHED 3.0 AND 3.5 ON THE DVORAK SCALE.
THERE IS LITTLE ROOM FOR ALEX TO INTENSIFY MUCH MORE SINCE A
PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION IS ALREADY OVER LAND. ALEX IS EXPECTED
TO WEAKEN OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...BUT ONCE IN THE GULF OF
MEXICO IT SHOULD BEGIN TO RE-STRENGTHEN. ALEX HAS A COUPLE OF DAYS
OVER WATER AND IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT BEFORE IT REACHES THE
MEXICAN COAST IN AROUND 96 HOURS.

THE CENTER WAS VERY DIFFICULT TO LOCATE EARLIER TODAY BUT NOW THAT
THE STORM IS BETTER ORGANIZED AND THE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE
PROVIDED A GOOD FIX...THE INITIAL MOTION IS MORE RELIABLE AND IT IS
ESTIMATED AT 280 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS.  A STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
EXTENDING FROM THE BAHAMAS ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO IS EXPECTED TO
TO KEEP ALEX ON A GENERAL WEST-TO WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK OVER THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS ANTICIPATED WHILE ALEX IS LOCATED IN THE SOUTHERN
GULF OF MEXICO AS THE STEERING CURRENTS WEAKEN A LITTLE BIT.  THE
CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST IS HIGH BECAUSE MOST OF THE DYNAMICAL
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND HAVE SHIFTED FARTHER SOUTH JOINING
THE RELIABLE ECMWF.



FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      26/2100Z 17.3N  87.8W    55 KT
12HR VT     27/0600Z 17.7N  89.2W    30 KT...INLAND
24HR VT     27/1800Z 19.0N  91.0W    30 KT...INLAND
36HR VT     28/0600Z 20.0N  92.5W    45 KT...OVER WATER
48HR VT     28/1800Z 20.5N  93.5W    55 KT
72HR VT     29/1800Z 21.5N  95.5W    65 KT
96HR VT     30/1800Z 22.0N  98.0W    65 KT...INLAND
120HR VT     01/1800Z 22.0N 101.0W    20 KT...INLAND

$$
FORECASTER AVILA


Pepeavilenho

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Alex, por Dios, endereza!!!, que te vas a destrozar contra el sistema montañoso.... :-[



No, si se va al EPAC con Darby.... ::) :cold:

HurricaneMex'

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#130
...ALEX NEAR THE COAST OF BELIZE...HEAVY RAINS SPREADING INTO NORTHERN GUATEMALA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...  


Su movimiento sigue siendo al OESTE

AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.1 WEST. ALEX IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS


7:00 PM CDT Sat Jun 26
Location: 17.4°N 88.1°W
Max sustained: 65 mph
Moving: W at 12 mph
Min pressure: 996 mb

HurricaneMex'

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El centro de ALEX se encuentra tocando tierra en BELICE