SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM EDT MON OCT 24 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
RINA...LOCATED ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GRAND CAYMAN.

1. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED AND BECOME A LITTLE BETTER
ORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED OVER
THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ABOUT 200 MILES EAST OF BONAIRE.
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE GRADUALLY BECOMING MORE CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME
MORE FAVORABLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE DISTURBANCE MOVES
INTO THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...
40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS ARUBA...BONAIRE...AND CURACAO THROUGH TONIGHT.  FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

Los modelos le quitan el apoyo a la 97L y por una sencilla razón, se va acercando rápidamente a RINA que es el sistema dominante en el Caribe actualmente, y que dicho sea de paso se mueve muy lentamente.

No obstante algún modelo que vi ponía cosas interesantes.... ¿Fujiwara a la vista? 

No lo creo pero existe la posibilidad.

Saludos 

Desciende a 10%..

HE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
RINA...LOCATED ABOUT 180 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO.

1. DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA
ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH.  DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT
10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

Y hasta ahí llego D:

1. A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED
CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER THE WEST-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA.
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT LIKELY BEFORE THIS WEEKEND...AND
IT THEREFORE HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS WHILE MOVING WESTWARD AT
AROUND 15 MPH

Cita de: TheDrovi en Jueves 27 Octubre 2011 04:51:56 AM
Y hasta ahí llego D:

1. A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED
CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER THE WEST-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA.
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT LIKELY BEFORE THIS WEEKEND...AND
IT THEREFORE HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS WHILE MOVING WESTWARD AT
AROUND 15 MPH

Ojo, que vuelve a renacer de sus cenizas y el NHC le vuelve a dar chance. (Además, el Sr. STEWART entra de guardia)
1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WEST-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA ARE
ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
DISTURBANCE...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT DRIFTS
NORTHWESTWARD.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.