JTWC ya solo le da POOR.
1. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.8S
117.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.8S 113.7E, APPROXIMATELY 145 NM NORTH-
NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA. THE SYSTEM HAS TRACKED WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 23 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED
INFRARED IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW A BROAD AREA OF CYCLONIC TURNING
AROUND A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). DEEP CONVECTION
IS EVIDENT TO THE WEST OF THE LLCC, BUT HAS WANED OVER THE LAST 12
HOURS AND TAKEN ON AN INCREASINGLY SHEARED APPEARANCE. A 011023Z
WINDSAT PASS SHOWS A VERY WEAK SURFACE REFLECTION AND A 011332Z
METOP-A IMAGE SHOWS A FEW POCKETS OF UNORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION.
UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS THE SYSTEM MOVING INTO INCREASINGLY
UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (25KTS INCREASING TO 35KTS).
ADDITIONALLY, SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE STARTING TO FALL OFF
RAPIDLY, AND ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BENEATH 26 DEGREES CELSIUS WITHIN
6 HOURS ALONG THE SYSTEMS TRACK. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1000 MB.
FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS
NO LONGER EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS.Seguiremos atentos, según la marina posee 30 kts.
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