hola si alguien sabría mas o mns lo que significa esto me lo podría decir o escribirlo por favor muxas gracias esque no entiendo nada
Un saludo



...Iberian Peninsula, France ...
Elevated mixed layer is present from Iberian Peninsula to central France and western Alpine region that should be advected northwestward into northern France during the next hours ahead of propagating short-wave trough ATTM over Bay of Biscay. At lower levels ... rich low-level moisture is present over western Alpine region and southern France ... and latest model output suggests that low-level moisture will continue to increase over central and northern parts of France. To the south ... low-level moisture should be significantly lower over Iberian Peninsula ... where low-level mixing/inverted-v profiles are expected during the day. On Thursday ... two upper short-wave troughs travel northeastward over northwestern France ... and northwestern Iberian Peninsula ... providing weak QG forcing and height falls over the affected region. At the surface ... weak thermally induced low-pressure systems are expected over western Iberian Peninsula, and western France ... and low-level convergence is forecast over central and northern France, and northern Iberian Peninsula. Given steep lapse rates and relatively weak CIN over northern Iberian Peninsula ... thunderstorms should form ... initially where orography/outflow boundaries are favorable for initiation. Thunderstorms that form may become organized given up to 20 m/s deep layer vertical wind shear in the range of the short-wave trough. Large hail should be possible with any supercell that forms. However ... most significant threat should be downbursts due to well-mixed boundary layer/relatively high cloud base ... and severe wind gusts should be possible with any thunderstorms that forms. Allover threat should warrant a SLGT. Convection may merge into one or two MCS/cluster later on as QG forcing/vertical wind shear should remain during the evening/night hours. To the north ... quite similar setup is expected over northern/central France. While deep layer vertical wind shear is forecast to be weaker, low-level moisture should be significantly greater ... and CAPE up to more than 2000 J/kg forecast by latest GFS model run are expected to realize. Thunderstorms that form will likely cluster given weak (below 15 m/s) deep layer vertical wind shear ... and multicells and mesocyclones are not expected to be likely ATTM. However ... in the range of low-level convergence lines/outflow boundaries ... enhanced low-level SRH and moisture may be favorable for an isolated mesocyclone or two ... capable of producing (very) large hail, severe wind gusts and a tornado or two. Most significant threat should be severe wind gusts and local flash flooding due to slow moving storms. Convective activity is expected to cluster and should weaken after sunset

no lo se pero por ahí he leído algo de tornado y sno predicciones para hoy para la peninsula Ibérica 

...¡que nos vamos de kazaaaaa! 


Yajuuuuuuuuuu!!!!!!

Casi nada el mapita de ESTOFEX, ejjeje:



http://www.estofex.org/

Yo tambien me voy de kaza   

Con un traductor he sacado esto (decir que no es de mucha confianza pero de algo sirve).Más o menos dice que hay situación propicia para tormentas en el oeste de Francia y España y tambíén en el norte de la península. Gracias a la humedad que se dá,la inestabilidad y el relieve de determinadas zonas pueden actuar de desencadenantes de supercélulas, con vientos de 20m/s y  granizo grande. Pero que el peligro a tener en cuenta es la posible formación de downburst con rachas severas de viento y con un movimiento lento. Después dice algo de la aparición de posibles tornados, mesociclones, multicélulas y explica más o menos la influencia y funcionamiento de las capas para que se formen esos fenómenos. En resumen una situación para nosotros los aficionados de lo más interesante, preparar las cámaras!

Gracias lovest parece que hoy será día de kaza y noche parece también que las hogueras de San Juan en algunos sitios van a ser pasadas por agua rayos y granizo y de to oleeeeeeeeeeeeeee de momento aki calor sur y mamatus