Ayer lo comentó Fox y hoy veo la entrevista:
Si ya lo dice el gurú Jeff Masters. Cito de una entrevista de hoy mismo:
“I am definitely thinking that this is going to be a severe hurricane season.”
Ale, ahí queda eso.
http://www.news-press.com/article/20100504/WEATHER01/100504067/1075/Weather-Underground-s-Jeff-Masters-Conditions-ripe-for-severe-hurricane-seasonJeff Masters, co-founder of Weather Underground, says conditions are in place that occurred in just three other seasons: 2005, 1958 and 1969.
“All three of those years had five major hurricanes,” he told Bloomberg.com. “I am definitely thinking that this is going to be a severe hurricane season.”
Masters said El Niño is fading and rain is keeping dust down in Africa, and sea temperatures in the open Atlantic are nearing record highs.
Stacy Stewart, senior specialist at the National Hurricane Center, confirmed the high water temperatures and the fading El Niño, both of which have been heavily reported in recent months. But he said he hasn’t seen evidence of rain affecting dust in Africa.
AccuWeather.com, citing the same conditions, has predicted 16 to 18 tropical storms in total. But it has said only five of those will be hurricanes, and only two or three of the hurricanes will be major storms, not the five Masters predicted.
Accuweather did make the bold prediction that seven storms will make landfall, but did not say where on the 45,814-mile long U.S. coastline, from Maine to Texas. Florida’s 1,200 mile coastline, from Jacksonville around to Pensacola, accounts for less than 3 percent of that.
In 2009, Accuweather predicted 13 named storms, with eight becoming hurricanes. It said four of those, one major, would have U.S. landfalls. Instead, there were 9 named storms, with three becoming hurricanes and two of those major hurricanes. Only two tropical storms had a U.S. landfall.
Last month, the Colorado State University team of William Gray and Philip Klotzbach called for 15 named storms, with eight becoming hurricanes and four of those major hurricanes. The team’s forecast for the 2009 season had called for 14, seven and three; instead, the season had nine, three and two.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration makes its prediction May 20