Los modelos siguen marcando una perturbación para el
GOM fruto de
LEE.
CMC: no ve nada.
Europeo : "Depresión Tropical" o de momento como mucho Tormenta Tropical débil.
Gfdl : Ayer veía una Tormenta Tropical en pleno GOM. Pero en su ultima actualización se hecha atrás.
GFS :Tormenta Tropical Débil al norte de Yucatan, fortalecimiento en el GOM y directo a Florida.
Nogaps : A la par con el GFS.
Para el
EPAC:
Para el fin de semana se vuelve a activar esta cuenca. Como mínimo intuyen una Tormenta Tropical.
Y para el
WPAC los modelos siguen marcando un fortalecimiento del
Invest 90W.JTWCTHE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.9N
131.2E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 130.8E, APPROXIMATELY 590 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AIR BASE, JAPAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN UNORGANIZED AND WEAK LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) ASSOCIATED WITH MINIMAL DEEP CONVECTION. A
050042Z ASCAT PASS DEPICTS STRONG 20-KNOT WESTERLY WINDS ALONG THE
SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A BROAD AREA OF TURNING TO THE NORTH. UPPER
LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED BENEATH A RIDGE AXIS
IN AN AREA OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15 KNOTS) AND MODERATE
DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. HOWEVER, A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH IS
WRAPPING AROUND THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN PERIPHERIES. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS REMAINS
LOW.
Los modelos no son nada claros. En resumidas cuentas .... Pupurri de disturbios.
Bona Tarda