Pues se mueve francamente al OESTE. No vaya a ser como el DEAN que tantas veces lo sacaban del caribe y al final casi se estrella en america central

http://wxmaps.org/pix/hurpot.html#ATL

Puuuuuuufffffffff.....está masacrado...si alguien cree que esto es una Tormenta Tropical, que levante la mano....NO VALE STEWART

LLCC en 53 W-16 N ...y mirad donde está la convección....



Ojo, tal vez esté viendo yo mal las cosas....pero eso parece a simple vista...

El parte, el parte...

COLIN peto según la ultima discusión del NHC

Bueno bueno señores....


COLIN HAS
DEGENERATED INTO A REMNANT LOW WITH GALE-FORCE WINDS OVER A SMALL
AREA NORTH OF THE CENTER.  

HOWEVER...NONE
OF THE DYNAMICAL MODELS FORECAST THE REMNANTS OF COLIN TO DISSIPATE
DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD...AND THEY FORECAST THAT THE SYSTEM
COULD REACH A MORE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OFF THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST
OF THE UNITED STATES BY DAY 5.  BASED ON THIS...THE INTENSITY
FORECAST CALLS FOR THE REMNANTS OF COLIN TO DROP BELOW GALE FORCE
DURING THE NEXT 12 HR AND CONTINUE AS A 30 KT REMNANT LOW THROUGH
96 HR.  AFTER THAT...THE DISTURBANCE COULD REGENERATE INTO A
TROPICAL CYCLONE AS SHOWN IN THE 120-HR FORECAST.

THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON
THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON
THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO
HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      03/2100Z 15.8N  53.8W    35 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
12HR VT     04/0600Z 16.8N  57.2W    30 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24HR VT     04/1800Z 18.4N  60.8W    30 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36HR VT     05/0600Z 20.0N  63.8W    30 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48HR VT     05/1800Z 21.7N  66.5W    30 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72HR VT     06/1800Z 25.0N  70.0W    30 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96HR VT     07/1800Z 28.0N  72.5W    30 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120HR VT     08/1800Z 30.0N  73.5W    30 KT...TROPICAL DEPRESSION

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

Imaginense los remanentes se mueven a nada menos que a 35MPH ó 56Km/h  , eso es 30KT justo la cizalladura necesaria para desarmar a un sistema debil.



Saludos 

Ha sido menos que Bonnie (hasta ahora mismo)...

ACE(kt2)

ALEX=67.800
BONNIE=3.680
COLIN=2.450

Imagen de Colin en su mejor momento

Pues los restos de Colin tienen ahora, segun el NHC un 10% de posibilidades de desarrollo.

Tengo interés en el visible...


Y gfs que le da vida....
+30 horas

+48 horas


Colin es duro de pelar....

¿Baja remanente?
Sí....claaaro...





Señores Floridenhos....actualicen....

Poco les falta para estar juntitos

Nuevo parte del Nhc,  los resto de Colin han mejorado algo, le dan un 20 % de posibilidades de desarrollo.

Ademas para esta tarde tenemos un vuelo de reconocimiento.





1. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM
COLIN...LOCATED ABOUT 150 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS...HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING.
HOWEVER...ANY ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO DUE
TO UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS.  THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 20 TO 25 MPH.
REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG GUSTY
WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD AND VIRGIN ISLANDS
ISLANDS TODAY AND TONIGHT.  AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM LATER TODAY.