Nuevo sistema en el Pacífico Este, con posibles efectos en el archipiélago de Hawaii



2. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure centered about 1450 miles southwest of Cabo San Lucas,
Mexico have changed little in organization overnight. However,
environmental conditions remain conducive for gradual development,
and a tropical depression is expected to form by mid-week while
the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

Veremos a ver como evoluciona a corto plazo.

Lanzada la alerta por formación tropical, por parte de las agencias, cuando ya tiene el 90% de posibilidades de desarrollo y alcanza fuerza de Depresión Tropical con 30kts-1005mb, esto además de ver "quien está de guardia".

Citar1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with the large area of low
pressure located about 1450 miles east-southeast of the Big Island
of Hawaii are gradually becoming better organized. Environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a
tropical cyclone will likely form over the next day or two while
the system moves west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

Forecaster Stewart

Se forma la cuarta Depresión Tropical en la Epac, justo en la línea de separación con la Cepac ó demarcación del Pacífico Central, con sede de Seguimiento en Honolulu. A primera vista del SAT, parece un batiburrillo de tormentas y aguaceros, sin orden ni concierto. Las agencias le dan poco pico de desarrollo, si acaso de 45 kts. a las puertas de las islas Hawaii. En fin...........

Buenas tardes.
Según las agencias, "esto" acaba de ser ascendido a Tormenta Tropical con 35 Kts-1009 mb. Ni lo voy a comentar siquiera.

Pero esto que es.....

DATA FROM A U.S. AIR FORCE HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE SURFACE WINDS NEAR 35 KT IN THE NORTHEAST
QUADRANT. ALTHOUGH THE ON-BOARD SFMR INSTRUMENT WAS EXPERIENCING
DATA QUALITY ISSUES...REDUCTION OF FLIGHT LEVEL WINDS SUPPORTS
UPGRADING THE DEPRESSION TO A TROPICAL STORM WITH THIS ADVISORY.

Tremendo