Tormenta Tropical JULIETTE (10-E. Sur de Manzanillo. Pacifico Este)

Como comenta el compañero Sudoku, nuevo sistema a observar en el Pacífico Este.



1. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS FORMED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE
TROPICAL WAVE NEAR THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.  ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE
NEXT FEW DAYS...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM BY MIDWEEK.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A HIGH CHANCE...80
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
WHILE IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH.  THIS
DISTURBANCE COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG THE SOUTHERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND INTERESTS IN THIS AREA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

Pronóstico de trayectoria del GFS.

Importante repunte del sistema en las últimas horas. Se nota que está aprovechando bien la humedad residual de FERNAND que le llega con la circulación del Este.
95EINVEST.25kts-1008mb-152N-989W.
1. A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE
MEXICAN COASTLINE IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE.  THIS
SYSTEM HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED WHILE IT MOVES WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR
CONDUCIVE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM AS LONG AS THE SYSTEM
REMAINS OFFSHORE DURING THE NEXT TWO OR THREE DAYS.  AFTER THAT
TIME...COOLER WATERS ARE LIKELY TO INHIBIT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A HIGH CHANCE...80
PERCENT... OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
THIS DISTURBANCE COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG THE
SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...AND INTERESTS
IN THAT AREA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

Nueva Tormenta Tropical en el Pacífico Este, proveniente de los restos del antiguo Invest 95-E. Actualmente posee 40 kts. Quedamos a la espera del primer parte del NHC.



Camino de Baja California