Lanzada la alerta por formación tropical para este sistemita. Buen aspecto el que presenta en estos momentos en el SAT. ADT acompaña en su desarrollo, pasando de LOW a HIGH, EN MENOS DE 24 HORAS:
H. REMARKS: 38A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .35 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 2.0. MET AGREES WITH DT WHILE PT YIELDS A 2.5. DBO DT.

CitarREMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.1S
66.8E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.4S 66.6E, APPROXIMATELY 350 NM WEST OF
DIEGO GARCIA. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
FORMATIVE BANDS HAVE WRAPPED TIGHTER INTO A MORE DEFINED, LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), HOWEVER, THE OVERALL CONVECTION HAS
WEAKENED AS INDICATED BY WARMING CLOUD TOPS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. A
161008 AMSU-B MICROWAVE SHOWS THE MAJORITY OF CONVECTION TO THE
NORTHEAST OF THE LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD POLEWARD
OUTFLOW WHICH OFFSETS MODERATE (15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. MODEL
GUIDANCE HAS THE SYSTEM TRACKING TO THE SOUTHEAST OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE LEVEL WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO
30 KTS AND MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002
MB. DUE TO THE CONSOLIDATION OF THE LLCC, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS HIGH.

Ni siquiera ha esperado al telediario. Catapúm glorioso y ya tenemos a ADJALI con 40kts-993mb.

El último parte del JTWC es bastante elocuente, dándole un pico de intensidad de 60 kts., pero creo que se va a quedar corto, viendo las últimas imágenes del microondas. 

Al borde de convertirse en Huracán, pero me da que ya no lo va a conseguir porque su aspecto no es tan bueno como lo era ayer.

60kts-978mb