Mete pinta de granizar en las provincias de Zaragoza y Teruel.
Hay algún Echotop rosa por ahí.

Empieza el espectaculo de esta semana... por granizo grande y downburst

A level 1 was issued for N-Spain and extreme SW France mainly for large hail and a few severe downburst events.

...NE/N Spain into SW France...

Surface dewpoints in the mid-tens over NE/N Spain and upper single digits in the mountains offer a rich BL moisture content with mean mixing ratios of 7-9 g/kg within the highlighted area. The past few days showed some diurnal mixing due to strong heating, but overall depth of moist air (1 to 2 km AGL) remained more or less unchanged. In response to an approaching E-Atlantic trough, winds at mid-levels start to back (sampled by Lisboa), and a transient WAA regime is forecast (already visualized by NE-ward spreading cirrus over the Iberian Peninsula). This assists in a N-ward fanning EML plume, which overspreads the area of interest. Forecast soundings show steepening mid-level lapse rates with modest moisture content beneath a 800 hPa cap, so 500-1000 J/kg MLCAPE looks reasonable. Highest CAPE values probably evolve along the Pyrenees, where some upslope flow from the south occurs. DLS remains weak (10 m/s or less), but WAA regime inserts some veering. Combined with healthy looking CAPE profiles, a few strong multicell storms with large hail and strong wind gusts are forecast. Storms remain attached to the mountains for some time, before moving off the mountains (cold pool driven) during the late afternoon/evening hours. Thunderstorms continue into the night, although weakening betimes. Most storms should be sub-severe by then. We added far SW-France into the level 1 due to the hail risk.

Further north into France, mid-level lapse rates remain modest, but less BL moisture should keep MLCAPE around 500 J/kg. Scattered thunderstorms are certainly possible during the afternoon/evening hours (driven by orography), but nothing severe is anticipated.

Posible sistema convectivo de mesoescala en el Golfo de Vizcaya, dirección SE/NW.
Saludos

Estofex viene muy fuerte para mañana incluso en zonas del NW habla de supercélulas y riesgo de tornado

No puedo colgar imagen 

Cita de: Bixu en Jueves 06 Junio 2013 23:39:34 PM

Estofex viene muy fuerte para mañana incluso en zonas del NW habla de supercélulas y riesgo de tornado

No puedo colgar imagen 

Citar(...) ... N-Spain and SW/W France ...A more robust severe risk arises as a strong cut-off low impacts most of the Iberian Peninsula. Cut-off lows in general have a tight shear gradient, so the current concern is not an ample shear/CAPE overlap over a broad area but more a confined region over N-C Spain, the W-coast of France and offshore over the Bay of Biscay, where organized storms are possible.
(...)

La tormenta que ha caido hace una horilla o menos por la zona de la desemboc :cold:adura ddl Ebro ha sido de las buenas...

Cita de: storm2002 en Sábado 08 Junio 2013 06:01:09 AM
La tormenta que ha caido hace una horilla o menos por la zona de la desemboc :cold:adura ddl Ebro ha sido de las buenas...

Es que las reflectividades y los topes nubosos que presentan esas masas nubosas del valle del Ebro y del Sur de Baleares son...................

Linea de turbonada entrando a Tarragona (no sabeis la envidia que siento antes estas cosas...) 

Tronando fuerte por Lleida city

Tormenta sobre la comarca dels Ports de Morella y Bajo Aragón. De momento aquí en veinte minutos ha dejado 8,5 mm y algo de granizo. La previsión marcaba riesgo muy ligero pero esta cola de frente ha llegado convectiva.
Buenas tyardes

Estofex comienza a tener las cosas claras. De momento, el NIVEL 1 en amplias zonas de la Europa más cercana, abarcando parte de la cuenca mediterránea occidental.

Cita de: Sudoku en Lunes 17 Junio 2013 08:06:14 AM
Estofex comienza a tener las cosas claras. De momento, el NIVEL 1 en amplias zonas de la Europa más cercana, abarcando parte de la cuenca mediterránea occidental.

El pronóstico para España y Francia:

CitarSpain and SW France...

Synoptic scale lift is expected to weaken convective inhibition over over NE Spain and SW France, where scattered storms are expected to form during the late morning and afternoon. They will do so in a very strongly sheared environment with 0-6 km bulk shear of 25 up to 40 m/s. Modest CAPE values of 500-1000 J/kg should limit the overall severe threat. Scattered storms including supercells are forecast, with a primary threat of large hail and possibly severe winds. During the late afternoon and an influx of colder boundary-layer air should mitigate the storm risk across SW France by preventing surface-based convection.

Y googletraduciendo lo marcado en negrita:

CitarTormentas aisladas incluyendo supercélulas se prevé, con la principal amenaza de granizo grande y vientos que pudieran ser graves.