CATAPUM!

Monzonismo índico ya comentado. El IMD lo cataloga como Depresión

Sub: Depression over westcentral & adjoining northwest Bay of Bengal

SUSTAINED MAXIMUM SURFACE WIND SPEED IS ESTIMATED TO BE ABOUT 25 KNOTS.

THE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS ABOUT 996 HPA.

VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF HORIZONTAL WIND OVER THE REGION IS BETWEEN 10-20 KNOTS.

SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE IS 30-32ºC OVER THE REGION. HOWEVER THE OCEAN HEAT CONTENT OVER THE NORTH BAY OF BENGAL IS NOT FAVOURABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION

En esta época del año estaba claro que esta zona del Índico tiene que empezar a volver a despertar.

Según JTWC:-POOR (pero esto es relativo y anecdótico, JTWC ultimamente no es ''de lo mejorcito que hay'')


Me temo muy mucho que les ha pillado desprevenidos, y esa zona.....

el JTWC lo sube a FAIR , mencionan que cada vez hay un ambiente superior más favorable 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO
25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000
MB. DUE TO INCREASED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT AND AN INCREASINGLY
FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT
OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS
UPGRADED TO FAIR.

Lluvia a saco en Bangladesh

el JTWC ya nin lo sigue . 

Sub: Depression over Bangladesh   



            The depression over Bangladesh and adjoining Gangetic West Bengal moved north-northeastwards and lay centred at 1730 hrs IST of today, the 08th October 2010 over Bangladesh, close to Dhakka.   The system would move northeastwards and weaken gradually into a low pressure area during next 12 hrs.