Ah mira, no lo había visto antes, gracias Rayo.
Ahora también lo comentan.
THE MOTION HAS SLOWED SIGNIFICANTLY...POSSIBLY DUE TO THE LOW PRESSURE
AREA APPROACHING THE NORTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. THE GLOBAL
MODELS ARE SHOWING A DIFFERENT SCENARIO IN THE SHORT-TERM AND HAVE
TRENDED TOWARD THE 00/12Z ECMWF SOLUTIONS.
AS THE SMALL LOW TO
THE NORTHEAST OF IGOR MOVES WESTWARD...THE RIDGE IS FORECAST TO
WEAKEN SLIGHTLY...WHICH ALLOWS IGOR TO MOVE TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST
OR EVEN NORTHWEST BRIEFLY. AFTERWARDS...THE RIDGE RESTRENGTHENS...
WHICH SHOULD TURN IGOR WESTWARD AGAIN. THE NHC FORECAST IS
SHIFTED TO THE NORTH TO ACCOUNT FOR THE INTERACTION OF THE TWO
SYSTEMS AND THE NORTHWARD SHIFT IN THE MODELS...BUT STILL LIES
ALONG THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE ENVELOPE.
IN THE LONGER-RANGE...THERE IS
PLENTY OF WARM WATER AND LIGHT SHEAR FORECAST IN THE PATH OF
IGOR...WHICH WOULD PROMOTE THE DEVELOPMENT OF A LARGE AND POWERFUL
HURRICANE. (...)
WITH THE TRACK FORECAST SHIFTING NORTHWARD...I AM HESITANT TO FORECAST
A MUCH STRONGER HURRICANE AT THIS TIME.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 08/2100Z 13.9N 23.9W 40 KT
12HR VT 09/0600Z 14.0N 24.8W 45 KT
24HR VT 09/1800Z 14.7N 26.5W 50 KT
36HR VT 10/0600Z 15.5N 29.1W 55 KT
48HR VT 10/1800Z 16.3N 32.2W 60 KT
72HR VT 11/1800Z 17.0N 37.5W 70 KT
96HR VT 12/1800Z 17.5N 42.5W 80 KT
120HR VT 13/1800Z 18.5N 47.5W 90 KT
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH